Premier League betting tips: Saturday's picks include Liverpool vs. Brentford play [10/17/2026]

Liverpool ML (+163)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Matchup: Liverpool vs. Brentford (10:00AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Liverpool to defeat Brentford at 38¢ odds. A 48.1% probability produces an edge of 10.1%, making this the strongest play for today's Premier League slate.

Ipswich Town vs. Manchester City Under 2.5 goals (+270)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 33.5%
• Matchup: Ipswich Town vs. Manchester City (10:00AM ET)

Ipswich Town vs. Manchester City under 2.5 goals carries a 6.5% edge and a probability of 33.5% at 27¢ odds, according to our model.

Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Under 2.5 goals (38¢)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 42.6%
• Matchup: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle (12:30PM ET)

Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Under 2.5 goals at 38¢ odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 42.6% probability in simulations.

Hull vs. Fulham under 2.5 goals (+120)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 49%
• Matchup: Hull vs. Fulham (10:00AM ET)

A 3.6% edge and 49% probability make Hull vs. Fulham under 2.5 goals a value play in the Hull vs. Fulham matchup, per our model.

Aston Villa ML (+203)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 36.6%
• Matchup: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle (12:30PM ET)

Aston Villa ML at 33¢ presents a 3.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 36.6%.

Hull ML (+456)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 21.2%
• Matchup: Hull vs. Fulham (10:00AM ET)

Our model finds value on Hull to win at 18¢, supported by an edge of 3.2%.

Premier League best bets summary: Saturday, 10/17/2026

As of 9:32AM ET, here are our top Premier League bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming Premier League games to bet on [10/17/2026]

• Liverpool vs. Brentford (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Hull vs. Fulham (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Ipswich Town vs. Manchester City (10:00AM ET, Saturday)
• Aston Villa vs. Newcastle (12:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Sunderland vs. Bournemouth (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Crystal Palace vs. Brighton (9:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Manchester United vs. Leeds (9:00AM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

Our Premier League best bets are locked and loaded for October 17, 2026, featuring plays such as Liverpool ML vs. Brentford and under 2.5 goals in the Ipswich Town vs. Manchester City matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.