Brighton vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Leeds Premier League match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Leeds
1
:
1
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
LeedsLU
L. Vuskovic (71')
Soccer ball icon
J. Bogle (15')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: P. Struijk replaces O. Boscagli
  2. 87'
    Yellow Card
    P. David (Brighton) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    H. Wilson (Leeds) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Costinha replaces F. Kadioglu
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: P. David replaces M. De Cuyper
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: H. Wilson replaces A. Tanaka
  8. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by L. Vuskovic, assisted by M. De Cuyper
    1-1
  9. 64'
    Yellow Card
    D. Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) cautioned
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: B. Aaronson replaces N. Okafor
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces J. Bogle
  12. 50'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  13. 49'
    Yellow Card
    M. De Cuyper (Brighton) cautioned
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    P. Gross (Brighton) cautioned
  15. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by J. Bogle, assisted by A. Tanaka
    1-0
  16. 6'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned

Brighton vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton 49¢, Leeds 25¢, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (53¢/47¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 50.7%
  • Leeds: 24.5%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.7%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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