Newcastle vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Bournemouth Premier League match on September 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Bournemouth
2
:
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
H. Barnes (37')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ramsey (88')
Soccer ball icon
M. Tavernier (9')
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M. Thiaw (o.g.) (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces L. Hall
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Smith (Bournemouth) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: R. Christie replaces A. Scott
  4. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Jebbison replaces M. Tavernier
  5. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: B. Gannon-Doak replaces Rayan
  6. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Ramsey
    2-2
  7. 87'
    Yellow Card
    A. Truffert (Bournemouth) cautioned
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  9. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: S. Steur replaces Nico
  10. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces J. Kluivert
  11. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: L. Cook replaces T. Adams
  12. 66'
    Yellow Card
    J. Kluivert (Bournemouth) cautioned
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: M. Fernandez-Pardo replaces J. Willock
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces L. Miley
  15. 57'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Wissa (Newcastle) cautioned
  16. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by L. Hall
    2-1
  17. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by M. Thiaw (o.g.)
    2-0
  18. 28'
    Yellow Card
    A. Elanga (Newcastle) cautioned
  19. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by M. Tavernier
    1-0

Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle 46¢, Bournemouth 28¢, draw 26¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (60¢/41¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 43.0%
  • Bournemouth: 33.3%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Bournemouth? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.0%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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