Barcelona vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/31/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Barcelona and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates an 82.1% chance of Barcelona winning, a 6.4% chance for Alaves, and an 11.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 73.0% chance of going over., with a 51.1% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alaves +2500, Barcelona -733
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-400/+376)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Alaves @ +1150 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +376 via Novig

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 3-0 Barcelona win being the most probable:

• Barcelona 3-0 Alaves (10.4% probability)
• Barcelona 2-0 Alaves (10.3%)
• Barcelona 5-0 Alaves (8.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 48.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga matchup between Barcelona and Alaves at Camp Nou is scheduled to start in the United States at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Barcelona vs. Alaves
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00 PM PT
• Venue: Camp Nou

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Barcelona has an 82.1% win probability on Saturday, Alaves has a 6.4% win probability, and there is an 11.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.