Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves prediction, odds, La Liga picks [8/20/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 42.8% chance of Rayo Vallecano winning, a 28.8% chance for Alaves, and a 28.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.3% chance of staying under, with a 55.4% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alaves +270, Rayo Vallecano +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Alaves @ +270 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +175 via Bet365

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Rayo Vallecano win being the most probable:

• Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves (13.5% probability)
• Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Alaves (13.1%)
• Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Alaves (10.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.6% chance of both Rayo Vallecano and Alaves finding the net and a 55.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's la-liga game between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves at Estadio Municipal de Butarque is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves
• Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Rayo Vallecano has a 42.8% win probability on Thursday, Alaves has a 28.8% win probability, and there is a 28.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.