Alaves vs. Malaga Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Malaga La Liga match on October 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Malaga
1
:
1
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
MalagaMCF
A. Manas (89')
Soccer ball icon
A. Nino (44')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Malaga
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Funes (Malaga) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by A. Manas
    1-1
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Cajuste replaces C. Dotor
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    C. Dotor (Malaga) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Berrocal replaces C. Puga
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: Chupe replaces A. Nino
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces A. Blanco
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Salinas replaces A. Aznou
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: R. Rodriguez replaces R. Enriquez
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces M. Diaz
  12. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces N. Valentini
  13. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: D. Suarez replaces A. Rebbach
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: H. Novoa Ramos replaces C. Alena
  15. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Malaga by A. Nino, assisted by R. Enriquez
    1-0
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    L. Boye (Alaves) cautioned

Alaves vs. Malaga: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Malaga
  • Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves 60¢, Malaga 14¢, draw 26¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (46¢/53¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 57.4%
  • Malaga: 19.0%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Malaga (12.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Malaga? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.4%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Malaga.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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