Valencia vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Villareal La Liga match on October 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Villareal
2
1
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
Pepelu (pen.) (38')
Soccer ball icon
H. Elliott (89')
Red Card icon
A. Freeman (69')
Soccer ball icon
P. Gueye (79')
Red Card icon
G. Mikautadze (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze, assisted by A. Moleiro
    2-1
  2. 89'
    Yellow Card
    H. Elliott (Valencia) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Red Card
    H. Elliott (Valencia) sent off for a second yellow card
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: P. Navarro replaces T. Buchanan
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Comesana replaces G. Moreno
  6. 79'
    Red Card
    P. Gueye (Villarreal) sent off with a straight red card
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: F. Ugrinic replaces P. Maffeo
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces J. De Haas
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Elliott replaces J. Guerra
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Martinez replaces D. Raba
  11. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Freeman, assisted by S. Cardona
    1-1
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moleiro replaces I. Akhomach
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces J. Foyth
  14. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Mikautadze replaces A. Perez
  15. 62'
    Yellow Card
    G. Rodriguez (Valencia) cautioned
  16. 60'
    Yellow Card
    P. Maffeo (Valencia) cautioned
  17. 59'
    Yellow Card
    T. Buchanan (Villarreal) cautioned
  18. 43'
    Yellow Card
    A. Perez (Villarreal) cautioned
  19. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by Pepelu (pen.)
    0-1
  20. 37'
    Yellow Card
    R. Veiga (Villarreal) cautioned
  21. 34'
    Yellow Card
    D. Raba (Valencia) cautioned
  22. 14'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Raba replaces D. Otorbi

Valencia vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia 27¢, Villareal 46¢, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (56¢/45¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 31.0%
  • Villareal: 44.1%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Villareal (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Valencia vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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