Atletico Madrid vs. Malaga Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Malaga La Liga match on August 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Malaga
0
2
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
MalagaMCF
Lee Kang-In (70')
Soccer ball icon
A. Baena (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Malaga
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    R. Enriquez (Malaga) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Baena
    0-2
  3. 80'
    Yellow Card
    J. Cruz (Malaga) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: R. Enriquez replaces E. Galilea
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: E. Jauregi replaces D. Lorenzo
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Hjulmand replaces Koke
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Salinas replaces C. Puga
  8. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Lee Kang-In, assisted by D. Hancko
    0-1
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: R. Rodriguez replaces C. Dotor
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Malaga: J. Cruz replaces J. Munoz
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Baena replaces A. Ortiz
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Lee Kang-In replaces C. Martin
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces R. Mendoza
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces J. Dominguez
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Puga (Malaga) cautioned
  16. 37'
    Yellow Card
    J. Dominguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  17. 15'
    Yellow Card
    D. Hancko (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

Atletico Madrid vs. Malaga: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Malaga
  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -220, Malaga +1000, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+127)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 67.4%
  • Malaga: 13.4%
  • Draw: 19.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Malaga? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.4%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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