Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on August 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
4
Real Madrid
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
K. Mbappe (40')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (60')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (68')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (80')
Soccer ball icon
L. Sucic (44')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Espi replaces B. Silva
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: Y. Diomande replaces Vinicius Junior
  5. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by Vinicius Junior
    1-4
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces J. Bellingham
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces A. Guler
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces T. Kubo
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card
    I. Konate (Real Madrid) cautioned
  10. 71'
    Yellow Card
    L. Beitia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  11. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by J. Bellingham
    1-3
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces J. Ochieng
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces Y. Herrera
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by J. Bellingham
    1-2
  15. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
  16. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces J. Aramburu
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Madrid: M. Cucurella replaces A. Carreras
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  19. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by L. Sucic
    1-1
  20. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by F. Valverde
    0-1
  21. 31'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Herrera (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  22. 10'
    Yellow Card
    A. Carreras (Real Madrid) cautioned

Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -250, Real Sociedad +1300, draw +700
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-333/+250)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 72.4%
  • Real Sociedad: 11.5%
  • Draw: 16.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 72.4%.

The most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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