Elche vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on October 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
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Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Aguado (Elche) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: F. Buonanotte replaces T. Lemar
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Burcio replaces A. Febas
  4. 81'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: S. Carreira replaces J. Galan
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces F. Jutgla
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Driouech replaces H. Alvarez
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces G. Villar
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces F. Nino
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Osorio replaces Tete Morente
  13. 37'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Lago (Celta Vigo) cautioned

Elche vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche 31¢, Celta Vigo +145, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/51¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 32.6%
  • Celta Vigo: 40.7%
  • Draw: 26.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.7%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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