Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
0
:
0
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Tarrega (Valencia) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Yellow Card
    Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: F. Ugrinic replaces G. Rodriguez
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Elliott replaces J. De Haas
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
  7. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces J. Louis-Jean
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces I. Williams
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  10. 57'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Otorbi replaces H. Duro
  12. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Rioja replaces D. Raba
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces B. Gerenabarrena
  14. 42'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gerenabarrena (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  15. 38'
    Yellow Card
    A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  16. 19'
    Yellow Card
    D. Raba (Valencia) cautioned

Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia 29¢, Athletic Bilbao 41¢, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (43¢/57¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 32.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 40.6%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.6%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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