Queretaro vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Atlas Liga MX match on August 29, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Queretaro
3
1
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
C. Garcia (o.g.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Capasso (52')
Red Card icon
S. Homenchenko (pen.) (39')
Soccer ball icon
S. Homenchenko (70')
Soccer ball icon
C. Garcia (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces B. Duarte
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: E. Duenas replaces C. Garcia
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces M. Coronel
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Rodriguez replaces M. Valenzuela
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces A. Rocha
  6. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by C. Garcia, assisted by A. Alcala
    3-1
  7. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by S. Homenchenko, assisted by I. Benito
    2-1
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: A. Alcala replaces Paulo Victor
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card
    Paulo Victor (Queretaro) cautioned
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Sanchez replaces Duk
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: S. Hernandez replaces A. Gonzalez
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: I. Benito replaces E. Gimenez
  13. 52'
    Red Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    E. Gimenez (Queretaro) cautioned
  15. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by C. Garcia (o.g.)
    1-1
  16. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by S. Homenchenko (pen.)
    1-0
  17. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces E. Zaldivar

Queretaro vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +270, Atlas +110, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 25.2%
  • Atlas: 49.4%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 1-1 Atlas (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Queretaro vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Atlas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.4%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Queretaro vs. Atlas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.