Guadalajara vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on August 29, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
:
1
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
S. Rondon (pen.) (79')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (3')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Arroyo (Pachuca) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Alcaraz replaces Kenedy
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces R. Marin
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: K. Castaneda replaces O. Govea
  5. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon (pen.)
    1-1
  6. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: N. Vallejo replaces O. Idrissi
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Arroyo replaces E. Montiel
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Ledezma replaces S. Sandoval
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Carrillo replaces H. Camberos
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: R. Pizarro replaces A. Bautista
  11. 53'
    Yellow Card
    C. Sanchez (Pachuca) cautioned
  12. 51'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
  13. 32'
    Yellow Card
    F. Venegas (Pachuca) cautioned
  14. 25'
    Yellow Card
    O. Idrissi (Pachuca) cautioned
  15. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by H. Camberos
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +115, Pachuca +210, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 38.7%
  • Pachuca: 35.3%
  • Draw: 25.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Pachuca (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.7%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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