San Luis vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on August 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
3
1
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
San LuisASL
H. Cuypers (73')
Soccer ball icon
D. Rodriguez (5')
Soccer ball icon
R. Llorente (36')
Soccer ball icon
O. Macias (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Luis
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Perez replaces O. Macias
  2. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by O. Macias, assisted by L. Flores
    3-1
  3. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Cruz replaces A. Duarte
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces D. Rodriguez
  5. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by H. Cuypers, assisted by F. Ambriz
    2-1
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galindo replaces M. Garcia
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces R. Llorente
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: H. Cuypers replaces O. Galvez
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: D. Rossi replaces E. Aguirre
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card
    A. Duarte (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  11. 58'
    Yellow Card
    A. Aceves (Monterrey) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Pineda replaces U. Djurdjevic
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces J. Rodriguez
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces I. Fimbres
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    E. Aguila (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  16. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by R. Llorente, assisted by O. Macias
    2-0
  17. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by D. Rodriguez
    1-0

San Luis vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
  • Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +285, Monterrey -120, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-168/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 21.1%
  • Monterrey: 58.3%
  • Draw: 20.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-2 Monterrey (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Luis vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.3%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-2 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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