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Read Article Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction: Why Dodgers are favored to win Sunday's Game 1 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 56.6% win probability for the Dodgers at American Family Field.
The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at American Family Field on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Jacob Misiorowski (0-0, 4.50 ERA) will start for the Brewers, pitting him against Tarik Skubal (1-0, 1.50 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction for Game 1.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Jacob Misiorowski's pitching projections or Tarik Skubal's predicted stats.
Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction and odds
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 56.6% chance of beating the Brewers in Game 1 of the series. According to our model, the Brewers (+1.5) have a 57.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 6.5-run over/under has a 55.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+178) / Brewers +1.5 (-186)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -102, Brewers +100
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-117)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet for Game 1
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 36¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Dodgers @ 50¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 6.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB Game 1 between the Brewers and Dodgers at American Family Field is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 56.6% win probability, will likely beat the Brewers in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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