MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Rays play [10/5/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, October 5, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for October 5, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Monday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for October 5, 2026 are here, with Yankees vs. Rays and White Sox vs. Guardians among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB postseason action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets today [10/5, updated 4:32PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, October 5, 2026.

Yankees vs. Rays Over 6.5 runs (-104)

Our model has identified value on Over 6.5 runs in Yankees vs. Rays at 51¢ odds. A 59% probability produces an edge of 8.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

White Sox vs. Guardians Over 6.5 runs (-104)

White Sox vs. Guardians over 6.5 runs carries a 6.8% edge and a probability of 57.8% at -104 odds, according to our model.

 

MLB Playoffs best bets summary: Monday, 10/5/2026

As of 4:32PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Prob.
Yankees vs. Rays Over 6.5 runs 51¢ @ Novig 8.0% 59%
White Sox vs. Guardians Over 6.5 runs -104 @ BetRivers 6.8% 57.8%
 

List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/5/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Rays matchup and over 6.5 runs in the White Sox vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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