MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Mitch Keller [7/27/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 27, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Mitch Keller, Kyle Bradish and Kumar Rocker.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Red Sox vs. Athletics and Guardians vs. Reds, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Monday, 7/27
Sourced from 55+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 27, ranked by probability.
Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 66.7%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Our model has found value on Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.7% gives this play an edge of 5.2% at -160 odds.
Kyle Bradish under 5.5 strikeouts (-134)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 65.4%
- Game: Orioles vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Kyle Bradish’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.4% probability and an 8.1% edge at -134 odds, according to our model.
Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-117)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
The data highlights value on Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.5% probability and a 9.6% edge at -117.
Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-121)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Our model finds value on Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 61.4% probability and an edge of 6.7% at -121 odds.
Kumar Rocker under 16.5 outs recorded (-122)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Mariners vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kumar Rocker under 16.5 outs recorded for Texas, showing an edge of 4.1% at -122 odds.
Daniel Susac to get a hit (-129)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Daniel Susac’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 2.6% at -129 odds, supported by a 58.9% probability according to our model.
David Hamilton to get a hit (-120)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 58.7%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Our model highlights value on David Hamilton to get a hit for Milwaukee, with a 58.7% probability and a 4.1% edge at -120 odds.
Drew Gilbert to get a hit (-121)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Game: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
The data shows value on Drew Gilbert to get a hit, supported by a 57.6% probability at -121 odds and an edge of 2.8%.
Jorge Polanco to get a hit (-120)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Game: Braves vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
A 2.2% edge on the to get a hit line makes Jorge Polanco a value play in Braves vs. Mets, supported by a 56.8% probability at -120 odds.
Alika Williams over 0.5 bases (-110)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Alika Williams over 0.5 bases here, with a 56.5% probability and 4.1% edge at -110 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Monday, July 27, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:31AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D-Backs vs. Pirates | Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts | -160 @ Fanatics | 5.2% | 66.7% |
| Orioles vs. Tigers | Kyle Bradish under 5.5 strikeouts | -134 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 65.4% |
| Mariners vs. Rangers | Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts | -117 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 61.4% |
| Brewers vs. Giants | Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts | -121 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 61.4% |
| Mariners vs. Rangers | Kumar Rocker under 16.5 outs recorded | -122 @ DraftKings | 4.1% | 59.1% |
| Brewers vs. Giants | Daniel Susac to get a hit | -129 @ DraftKings | 2.6% | 58.9% |
| Brewers vs. Giants | David Hamilton to get a hit | -120 @ Fanatics | 4.1% | 58.7% |
| Brewers vs. Giants | Drew Gilbert to get a hit | -121 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 57.6% |
| Braves vs. Mets | Jorge Polanco to get a hit | -120 @ FanDuel | 2.2% | 56.8% |
| Red Sox vs. Athletics | Alika Williams over 0.5 bases | -110 @ Fanatics | 4.1% | 56.5% |
Conclusion
For July 27, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Mitch Keller, Kyle Bradish and Kumar Rocker. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
