Sep 27, 2026
Orioles vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/27/2026]
Read Article Pirates vs. Tigers prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 50.8% win probability for the Pirates at Comerica Park.
The Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Sunday, starting at 3:10 PM ET.
River Ryan (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the ball for the Tigers, while the Pirates will counter with Jared Jones (5-6, 3.87 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Pirates a slight edge with a 50.8% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a complete Pirates vs. Tigers prediction, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Tigers prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Tigers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Pirates a 50.8% chance of beating the Tigers. According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 60.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.7% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Pirates -1.5 (+174) / Tigers +1.5 (-177)
- Moneyline: Pirates +106, Tigers -108
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-111/+108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Pirates -1.5 @ 36¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Pirates @ 49¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 53¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Tigers and Pirates at Comerica Park is scheduled to commence at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Pirates, with a 50.8% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
Every Bet, Every Game, Every Day Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$119.99 $149.99
6 months $20 per month Save $30.00 · 20% LIMITED TIME OFFER BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$169.99 $199.99
12 months $14.17 per month Save $30.00 · 15% LIMITED TIME OFFER Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
