Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Orioles MLB game on July 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-8, 7.06 ERA
vs.
Jul 31, 7:05 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Brandon Young 8-2, 3.13 ERA
Jul 31, 7:05 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: July 31, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Phillies
    48.1%
    NovigNovig
  • Orioles
    51.9%
    PolymarketPolymarket
Weather Forecast
Last Updated: July 31, 2026, 7:50 AM ET
Sunny weather icon
87°FSunny
RoofNone
Humidity39%
Wind speed4mph
Cloud cover18%
Dew point60°F
Wind directionESE

Phillies vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Orioles
  • Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +108, Orioles -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 48%
  • Orioles: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 48%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.