Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Mets MLB game on August 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Marlins
Tyler Phillips 2-5, 3.52 ERA
1
3 Out
0
Aug 1, 4:10 PM ET Citi Field
Mets
Zac Thornton 2-1, 2.43 ERA
Aug 1, 4:10 PM ET Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
1 1 1 0
Mets
X 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    53%
  • Mets
    47%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
L. Hicks
L. Jiménez
LHP Z. Thornton
Last At Bat
Outs
Leo Jiménez grounds out to first base, Jared Young to Zac Thornton.
(LHP) Zac Thornton
24 Pitches
W-LIPHRERBBKERA
Season 2-1 29.2 20 8 8 7 111 2.427
Today 1.0 1 1 0 0 0
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Lopez SS1100000.0000.000
2 H. Hernández LF1000000.0000.000
3 L. Hicks C10110001.0002.000
4 X. Edwards 2B1000000.0000.000
5 L. Jiménez 3B1000000.0000.000
6 K. Stowers 1B0000000.0000.000
7 J. Sanoja RF0000000.0000.000
8 E. Ruiz CF0000000.0000.000
9 G. Conine DH0000000.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF0000000.0000.000
2 F. Lindor SS0000000.0000.000
3 B. Bichette DH0000000.0000.000
4 C. Benge RF0000000.0000.000
5 J. Young 1B0000000.0000.000
6 M. Semien 2B0000000.0000.000
7 B. Baty 3B0000000.0000.000
8 T. Taylor LF0000000.0000.000
9 L. Torrens C0000000.0000.000

Marlins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Mets
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins +122, Mets -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 43%
  • Mets: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 43%, while the Mets have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citi Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.