Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [8/1/2026]
Get New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Saturday.
The Chicago Cubs will take on the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Wrigley Field on Saturday, starting at 7:15 PM ET.
The Cubs will have David Peterson (6-7, 5.80 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Yankees will counter with Max Fried (4-3, 3.23 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Cubs a slight edge with a 52.4% win probability over the Yankees.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Yankees vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Cubs a 52.4% chance of defeating the Yankees.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 65.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 6.5-run over/under has a 54.9% chance of going over,.
Yankees vs. Cubs odds [8/1/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Yankees | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+186) | +1.5 (-194) |
| Moneyline | +108 | -110 |
| Total | o6.5 (+117) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Yankees vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +186 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | -110 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | +117 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Yankees vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB action between the Cubs and Yankees at Wrigley Field is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 52.4% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
