Dodgers vs. Giants prediction: Dodgers favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [9/25/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Dimers' simulation model projects a 74.1% win probability for the Dodgers at Oracle Park.

The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Francisco Giants in MLB action.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants MLB prediction for Friday, September 25, 2026.

MLB action continues on Friday at 10:15 PM ET as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park.

Yunior Marte (0-1, 4.66 ERA) will be on the bump for the Giants, up against Tarik Skubal (11-7, 2.85 ERA) for the Dodgers.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Dodgers vs. Giants prediction.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Tarik Skubal's projected pitching stats.

Dodgers vs. Giants prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Dodgers and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 74.1% chance of defeating the Giants. According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 62.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53.0% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (-163) / Giants +1.5 (+160)
  • Moneyline: Dodgers -292, Giants +300
  • Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 62¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Giants @ +300 via bet365
  • Total: Over 7.5 @ +104 via BetRivers

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Giants and Dodgers at Oracle Park is scheduled to begin at 10:15 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 74.1% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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