Padres vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Reds MLB game on Wednesday, September 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Padres
Casey Mize 5-8, 3.45 ERA
3
7
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Brandon Williamson 2-3, 6.11 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 1
Reds
0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 X 7 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    0%
  • Reds
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis 2B4121002.5001.000
2 S. Taylor LF3000011.0000.250
3 J. Merrill CF4000000.0000.000
4 T. France 1B3122110.6672.417
5 X. Bogaerts SS3020010.6671.417
6 E. Salas C4000002.0000.000
7 D. Harris RF2000001.0000.000
8 L. Campusano DH4000002.0000.000
9 J. Cronenworth 3B3000011.0000.250
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Friedl LF0000000.0000.000
2 E. De La Cruz DH4120001.5001.000
3 S. Stewart 1B4000000.0000.000
4 J. Bleday RF4232100.7502.500
5 T. Stephenson C3100011.0000.250
6 D. Myers CF4130001.7501.500
7 J. Brito 2B3113111.3331.833
8 M. McLain SS3001002.0000.000
9 E. Arroyo 3B4000000.0000.000

Padres vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
  • Time: 12:40PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (-1.5, +105), Reds (+1.5, -108)
  • Moneyline: Padres -153, Reds +150
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+104/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 57.3%
  • Reds: 42.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 57.3%, while the Reds have a win probability of 42.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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