NBA picks today: Wednesday's best bets include Bulls vs. Knicks play [11/4/2026]

Bulls +11.5 (+104)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Bulls +11.5 at 49¢ odds. A 55.7% probability produces an edge of 6.7%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Kings +11.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Kings +11.5 carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 55.8% at 50¢ odds, according to our model.

Bucks +11.5 (50¢)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Bucks +11.5 vs. Celtics at 50¢ odds shows a 4.9% edge, supported by a 54.9% probability in simulations.

Heat ML (-186)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 69.7% probability makes Heat at the moneyline a value play in the Heat vs. Clippers matchup, per our model.

Mavericks +11.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Mavericks +11.5 at 51¢ presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.4%.

Bulls ML (+506)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 20.1%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Bulls to win at 17¢, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Lakers vs. Kings Under 234.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Lakers vs. Kings Under 234.5 points at 50¢. A 53.5% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pacers +6.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

A 3.5% edge on a 54% probability makes Pacers +6.5 at -102a solid value play in today's Pacers vs. Grizzlies matchup.

Wizards +2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 53.9%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Wizards +2.5 at 50¢. A 53.9% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making Wizards the favorable side in today's matchup.

Thunder -2.5 (+108)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Thunder -2.5 at 48¢ shows a 51.2% probability and a 3.1% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 11/4/2026

As of 5:32AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/4/2026]

• 76ers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hawks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hornets vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bucks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cavaliers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Jazz vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pacers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Timberwolves vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Raptors vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mavericks vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 4, 2026, featuring plays such as Bulls +11.5 vs. Knicks and Kings +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.