Kings vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, pick for Oct. 31, 2026
Our Kings vs. Grizzlies predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to beat the Sacramento Kings at FedExForum on Saturday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Kings vs. Grizzlies prediction gives Memphis a 73.3% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Kings to cover at +8.5.
Kings vs. Grizzlies key predictions
- Predicted score: Grizzlies 118-111 Kings
- Grizzlies win probability: 73.3%
- Kings win probability: 26.7%
- Kings +8.5 spread: 54.9% cover probability
- Over 228.5 points: 51.2% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Kings vs. Grizzlies odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Kings moneyline: 25¢ (Novig)
- Grizzlies moneyline: 75¢ (Novig)
- Kings +8.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Grizzlies -8.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 228.5 points: 53¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 228.5 points: 48¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Kings vs. Grizzlies pick: Kings +8.5 (50¢)
Our model makes the Grizzlies the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Kings to cover the +8.5 spread at 50¢ on Novig.
Those odds give the Kings an implied cover probability of 50.0%, while our model puts it at 54.9%.
That's a 4.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Kings vs. Grizzlies player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Grizzlies star Ty Jerome leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.6 points, plus 6.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds. The Kings have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Grizzlies' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 23.6 points
- Zach LaVine (Kings): 22.8
- Darius Acuff (Kings): 22.7
- Domantas Sabonis (Kings): 17.1
- Cameron Boozer (Grizzlies): 16.3
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
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- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Kings vs. Grizzlies game details
- Matchup: Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.


