Nuggets vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Nuggets vs. Pacers prediction for Saturday, November 7, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
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LIVE
4th 4:36
NBA
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LIVE
4th 4:36
Updating LIVE
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nuggets
108
:
95
Mexico City Arena
Pacers
Mexico City Arena
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 37 26 18 108
Pacers
19 22 37 17 95
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    >99%
  • Pacers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 37 26 18 108
Pacers
19 22 37 17 95
Q4 5:12 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:28 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:49 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:59 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:18 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:34 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:47 Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:00 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:26 Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot
Q4 7:32 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Stoppage (Other)
  2. Q4 4:36
    Nuggets personal foul
  3. Q4 4:54
    Pacers personal foul
  4. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-95
  5. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-95
  6. Q4 4:57
    Aaron Nesmith turnover
  7. Q4 5:03
    Nuggets turnover
  8. Q4 5:12
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 5:12
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  10. Q4 5:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    106-95
  11. Q4 5:38
    Pacers personal foul
  12. Q4 5:38
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun)
  13. Q4 5:49
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 5:49
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  15. Q4 5:59
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 5:59
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  17. Q4 6:18
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 6:18
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  19. Q4 6:33
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  20. Q4 6:33
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, DeMar DeRozan)
  21. Q4 6:33
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Jalen Slawson, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Larry Nance Jr.)
  22. Q4 6:34
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    104-95
  23. Q4 6:47
    Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 6:47
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  25. Q4 7:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 7:00
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  27. Q4 7:26
    +3
    Jarace Walker makes three point jump shot
    102-95
  28. Q4 7:32
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 7:32
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  30. Q4 7:48
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    102-92
  31. Q4 7:58
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 7:58
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  33. Q4 8:19
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 8:19
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  35. Q4 8:33
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
    102-90
  36. Q4 8:51
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    99-90
  37. Q4 9:10
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  38. Q4 9:10
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 9:22
    Nuggets personal foul
  40. Q4 9:22
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    99-87
  41. Q4 9:22
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  42. Q4 9:22
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  43. Q4 9:22
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    99-88
  44. Q4 9:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    99-85
  45. Q4 9:48
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    97-85
  46. Q4 9:57
    Stoppage (Other)
  47. Q4 10:01
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    97-82
  48. Q4 10:21
    +2
    Quenton Jackson makes two point jump shot
    94-82
  49. Q4 10:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    94-80
  50. Q4 10:47
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    92-80
  51. Q4 10:54
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 10:54
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  53. Q4 11:10
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 11:10
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  55. Q4 11:29
    Pacers personal foul
  56. Q4 11:29
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-78
  57. Q4 11:29
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-78
  58. Q4 11:31
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 11:31
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  60. Q4 11:47
    Stoppage (Other)
  61. Q4 11:47
    Stoppage (Other)
  62. Q4 11:47
    Stoppage (Other)
  63. Q4 11:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 11:50
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  65. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets misses two point tip layup
  66. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets misses two point tip layup
  67. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  68. Q3 00:00
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  69. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  70. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Tyus Jones, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  71. Q4 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Kelly Oubre Jr., Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin)
  72. Q3 00:01
    Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
  73. Q3 00:01
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  74. Q3 00:09
    Pacers misses two point tip layup
  75. Q3 00:09
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  76. Q3 00:09
    Nuggets personal foul
  77. Q3 00:09
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  78. Q3 00:09
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  79. Q3 00:09
    Quenton Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
  80. Q3 00:09
    Nuggets challenge timeout
  81. Q3 00:09
    Nikola Jokic personal foul (Away from play)
  82. Q3 00:09
    Quenton Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
  83. Q3 00:09
    Quenton Jackson offensive foul
  84. Q3 00:11
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  85. Q3 00:11
    Pacers offensive rebound
  86. Q3 00:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  87. Q3 00:34
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  88. Q3 00:36
    Pacers personal foul
  89. Q3 00:45
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  90. Q3 00:45
    Trevon Brazile defensive rebound
  91. Q3 00:55
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    90-78
  92. Q3 1:16
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    88-78
  93. Q3 1:23
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  94. Q3 1:23
    DeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot
  95. Q3 1:43
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    88-76
  96. Q3 1:54
    Nuggets personal foul
  97. Q3 1:54
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Jay Huff)
  98. Q3 1:56
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  99. Q3 1:56
    Pacers offensive rebound
  100. Q3 2:07
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 2:07
    Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
  102. Q3 2:17
    Pacers personal foul
  103. Q3 2:17
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Larry Nance Jr.)
  104. Q3 2:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Trevon Brazile, Tyus Jones, DeMar DeRozan)
  105. Q3 2:29
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  106. Q3 2:29
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  107. Q3 2:47
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    88-73
  108. Q3 3:11
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    86-73
  109. Q3 3:26
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    86-70
  110. Q3 3:43
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    83-70
  111. Q3 3:56
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    83-67
  112. Q3 4:09
    Stoppage (Other)
  113. Q3 4:12
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  114. Q3 4:12
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  115. Q3 4:13
    Nuggets personal foul
  116. Q3 4:30
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    81-67
  117. Q3 4:45
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  118. Q3 4:45
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Trevon Brazile, DeMar DeRozan)
  119. Q3 4:45
    Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Obi Toppin, Larry Nance Jr.)
  120. Q3 4:47
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    79-67
  121. Q3 4:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    81-64
  122. Q3 4:54
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  123. Q3 5:20
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    79-64
  124. Q3 5:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    81-61
  125. Q3 5:28
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  126. Q3 5:34
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  127. Q3 5:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  128. Q3 5:47
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    79-61
  129. Q3 5:56
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    79-58
  130. Q3 6:01
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  131. Q3 6:01
    Trevon Brazile offensive rebound
  132. Q3 6:15
    Larry Nance Jr. turnover
  133. Q3 6:29
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    76-58
  134. Q3 6:40
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  135. Q3 6:40
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun)
  136. Q3 6:42
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    74-58
  137. Q3 6:55
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  138. Q3 6:55
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  139. Q3 7:04
    Pacers personal foul
  140. Q3 7:04
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Larry Nance Jr.)
  141. Q3 7:22
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    74-55
  142. Q3 7:26
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 7:26
    Ivica Zubac offensive rebound
  144. Q3 7:39
    Nuggets turnover
  145. Q3 7:46
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    74-53
  146. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  147. Q3 8:00
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  148. Q3 8:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    74-51
  149. Q3 8:40
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  150. Q3 8:40
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Jalen Slawson, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard)
  151. Q3 8:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    74-49
  152. Q3 8:50
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  153. Q3 8:50
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  154. Q3 9:02
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    72-49
  155. Q3 9:17
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    70-49
  156. Q3 9:24
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-47
  157. Q3 9:36
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    68-47
  158. Q3 9:36
    Nuggets personal foul
  159. Q3 9:36
    Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  160. Q3 9:36
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  161. Q3 9:42
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 9:42
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  163. Q3 10:00
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    68-45
  164. Q3 10:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    68-43
  165. Q3 10:20
    Pacers personal foul
  166. Q3 10:20
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  167. Q3 10:20
    Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  168. Q3 10:38
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 10:38
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  170. Q3 10:55
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    66-43
  171. Q3 11:04
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 11:04
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  173. Q3 11:19
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 11:19
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  175. Q3 11:36
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    64-43
  176. Q3 11:40
    Nuggets personal foul
  177. Q3 11:46
    Nikola Jokic turnover (Braden Smith steals)
  178. Q2 00:00
    Stoppage (Other)
  179. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  180. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Braden Smith)
  181. Q2 00:02
    Christian Braun misses two point jump shot
  182. Q2 00:02
    Pacers defensive rebound
  183. Q2 00:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    64-41
  184. Q2 00:35
    Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
  185. Q2 00:35
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  186. Q2 00:51
    Nuggets personal foul
  187. Q2 00:51
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-38
  188. Q2 00:51
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun)
  189. Q2 00:51
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Larry Nance Jr.)
  190. Q2 00:51
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-39
  191. Q2 1:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    64-37
  192. Q2 1:19
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  193. Q2 1:19
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  194. Q2 1:23
    Nuggets personal foul
  195. Q2 1:23
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Braden Smith, Larry Nance Jr.)
  196. Q2 1:29
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  197. Q2 1:29
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  198. Q2 1:37
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  199. Q2 1:37
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  200. Q2 1:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  201. Q2 1:48
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  202. Q2 2:03
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  203. Q2 2:03
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  204. Q2 2:19
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    62-37
  205. Q2 2:35
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  206. Q2 2:35
    Bryce Hopkins defensive rebound
  207. Q2 2:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    59-37
  208. Q2 2:39
    Pacers personal foul
  209. Q2 2:39
    +1
    Bryce Hopkins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    60-37
  210. Q2 2:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  211. Q2 2:50
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  212. Q2 3:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  213. Q2 3:02
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  214. Q2 3:22
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    57-37
  215. Q2 3:36
    Nuggets personal foul
  216. Q2 3:38
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  217. Q2 3:38
    Pacers defensive rebound
  218. Q2 3:45
    Pacers personal foul
  219. Q2 3:45
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Bryce Hopkins)
  220. Q2 3:45
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Braden Smith, Jay Huff)
  221. Q2 3:57
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  222. Q2 3:57
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  223. Q2 4:13
    Ivica Zubac offensive rebound
  224. Q2 4:13
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  225. Q2 4:40
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    57-34
  226. Q2 4:47
    Pacers personal foul
  227. Q2 4:52
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  228. Q2 4:52
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  229. Q2 5:01
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  230. Q2 5:01
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Braden Smith)
  231. Q2 5:10
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    54-34
  232. Q2 5:28
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    51-34
  233. Q2 5:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  234. Q2 5:34
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  235. Q2 5:45
    Pacers turnover
  236. Q2 5:45
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
  237. Q2 5:54
    +2
    Marvin Bagley III makes two point jump shot
    51-32
  238. Q2 6:09
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    49-32
  239. Q2 6:17
    Nuggets personal foul
  240. Q2 6:17
    Pacers technical foul
  241. Q2 6:17
    DeMar DeRozan misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  242. Q2 6:17
    Pacers defensive rebound
  243. Q2 6:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Marvin Bagley III)
  244. Q2 6:17
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin)
  245. Q2 6:26
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  246. Q2 6:26
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  247. Q2 6:40
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    49-30
  248. Q2 6:49
    Nuggets turnover
  249. Q2 6:51
    Marvin Bagley III misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 6:51
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  251. Q2 7:15
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  252. Q2 7:15
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  253. Q2 7:26
    Pacers personal foul
  254. Q2 7:26
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-28
  255. Q2 7:26
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    49-28
  256. Q2 7:40
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  257. Q2 7:40
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  258. Q2 8:01
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    46-28
  259. Q2 8:10
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  260. Q2 8:10
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  261. Q2 8:27
    Pacers personal foul
  262. Q2 8:27
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-28
  263. Q2 8:27
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-28
  264. Q2 8:45
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  265. Q2 8:45
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  266. Q2 8:57
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  267. Q2 8:57
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Jay Huff)
  268. Q2 9:00
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    41-28
  269. Q2 9:04
    Marvin Bagley III misses two point layup
  270. Q2 9:04
    Tyus Jones offensive rebound
  271. Q2 9:09
    Pacers turnover
  272. Q2 9:34
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    39-28
  273. Q2 9:45
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  274. Q2 9:45
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  275. Q2 10:04
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    36-28
  276. Q2 10:23
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  277. Q2 10:23
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, Tyus Jones, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  278. Q2 10:26
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    34-28
  279. Q2 10:39
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    34-25
  280. Q2 11:03
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    31-25
  281. Q2 11:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    31-22
  282. Q2 11:34
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    29-22
  283. Q2 11:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    29-19
  284. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  285. Q1 00:00
    Quenton Jackson turnover (out of bounds step)
  286. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  287. Q1 00:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  288. Q1 00:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  289. Q1 00:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun, DeMar DeRozan)
  290. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Trevon Brazile, Cameron Johnson, Tyus Jones, Marvin Bagley III, DeMar DeRozan)
  291. Q1 00:03
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  292. Q1 00:03
    Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
  293. Q1 00:06
    Pacers personal foul
  294. Q1 00:06
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-19
  295. Q1 00:06
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun, DeMar DeRozan)
  296. Q1 00:06
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Larry Nance Jr.)
  297. Q1 00:06
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-19
  298. Q1 00:30
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    25-19
  299. Q1 00:37
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  300. Q1 00:37
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  301. Q1 00:47
    +2
    Pacers makes two point tip layup
    25-17
  302. Q1 00:49
    Pascal Siakam misses two point jump shot
  303. Q1 00:49
    Pacers offensive rebound
  304. Q1 1:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  305. Q1 1:04
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  306. Q1 1:22
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    25-15
  307. Q1 1:31
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    25-13
  308. Q1 1:39
    Pacers personal foul
  309. Q1 1:39
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
  310. Q1 1:57
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  311. Q1 1:57
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  312. Q1 2:01
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  313. Q1 2:01
    Ivica Zubac offensive rebound
  314. Q1 2:18
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  315. Q1 2:18
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  316. Q1 2:29
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  317. Q1 2:29
    Tyus Jones defensive rebound
  318. Q1 2:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    23-13
  319. Q1 2:47
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  320. Q1 2:47
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Kelly Oubre Jr., Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
  321. Q1 2:47
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Trevon Brazile, Tyus Jones, DeMar DeRozan)
  322. Q1 2:52
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  323. Q1 2:52
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  324. Q1 2:52
    Aaron Nesmith turnover (out of bounds step)
  325. Q1 2:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  326. Q1 3:08
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  327. Q1 3:08
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  328. Q1 3:16
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  329. Q1 3:16
    Trevon Brazile misses two point jump shot
  330. Q1 3:30
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  331. Q1 3:30
    DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
  332. Q1 3:41
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  333. Q1 3:41
    Pacers offensive rebound
  334. Q1 3:41
    Stoppage (Other)
  335. Q1 3:41
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Trevon Brazile, DeMar DeRozan)
  336. Q1 3:50
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    21-13
  337. Q1 4:01
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  338. Q1 4:01
    Trevon Brazile defensive rebound
  339. Q1 4:09
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  340. Q1 4:09
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  341. Q1 4:15
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  342. Q1 4:15
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  343. Q1 4:42
    Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
  344. Q1 4:42
    Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
  345. Q1 4:59
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  346. Q1 4:59
    Trevon Brazile defensive rebound
  347. Q1 5:03
    Stoppage (Other)
  348. Q1 5:03
    Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun, DeMar DeRozan)
  349. Q1 5:16
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    18-13
  350. Q1 5:20
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  351. Q1 5:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  352. Q1 5:30
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    16-13
  353. Q1 5:37
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    16-11
  354. Q1 5:37
    Pacers personal foul
  355. Q1 5:37
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Jay Huff)
  356. Q1 5:37
    Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  357. Q1 5:37
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  358. Q1 5:48
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  359. Q1 5:48
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  360. Q1 6:04
    Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
  361. Q1 6:04
    Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
  362. Q1 6:09
    Pacers personal foul
  363. Q1 6:09
    Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Trevon Brazile, Christian Braun)
  364. Q1 6:09
    Pacers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Quenton Jackson, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Jay Huff)
  365. Q1 6:18
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  366. Q1 6:18
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  367. Q1 6:25
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  368. Q1 6:25
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  369. Q1 6:36
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    14-11
  370. Q1 6:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  371. Q1 6:51
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  372. Q1 7:05
    +2
    Pacers makes two point tip layup
    14-9
  373. Q1 7:08
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  374. Q1 7:08
    Pacers offensive rebound
  375. Q1 7:30
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    14-7
  376. Q1 7:32
    Obi Toppin turnover
  377. Q1 7:52
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  378. Q1 7:52
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Kelly Oubre Jr., Quenton Jackson, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin)
  379. Q1 7:54
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    12-7
  380. Q1 8:00
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  381. Q1 8:00
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  382. Q1 8:15
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    10-7
  383. Q1 8:21
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  384. Q1 8:21
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  385. Q1 8:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    8-7
  386. Q1 8:40
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  387. Q1 8:40
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  388. Q1 8:49
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  389. Q1 8:49
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  390. Q1 9:01
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  391. Q1 9:01
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  392. Q1 9:09
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  393. Q1 9:09
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  394. Q1 9:21
    Pacers personal foul
  395. Q1 9:21
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-7
  396. Q1 9:21
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    6-7
  397. Q1 9:35
    Nuggets personal foul
  398. Q1 9:35
    +1
    Ivica Zubac makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    4-6
  399. Q1 9:35
    +1
    Ivica Zubac makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    4-7
  400. Q1 9:49
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  401. Q1 9:53
    Pacers turnover
  402. Q1 10:03
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    2-5
  403. Q1 10:18
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    0-5
  404. Q1 10:27
    Nuggets personal foul
  405. Q1 10:38
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  406. Q1 10:38
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  407. Q1 10:47
    Pacers turnover
  408. Q1 11:05
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 11:05
    Ivica Zubac defensive rebound
  410. Q1 11:24
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  411. Q1 11:32
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  412. Q1 11:32
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  413. Q1 11:46
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  414. Q1 11:46
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  415. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Braden Smith)
  416. Q1 12:00
    (Pascal Siakam gains possession)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Pacers
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Pacers prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Saturday

  • Teams: Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers
  • Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
  • Tip-off: 5:00PM ET
  • Venue: Mexico City Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nuggets (-7.5, -106), Pacers (+7.5, +104)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points (-126/+105)
  • Moneyline: Nuggets -270, Pacers +277

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nuggets: 73.4%
  • Pacers: 26.6%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Nuggets 117 and Pacers 110.

This is a margin of 7 points against a spread of 7.5, and a projected total of 227 points against a market line of 228.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Nuggets vs. Pacers, including:

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 73.4%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 26.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Mexico City Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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