Nov 6, 2026
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Read Article Spurs vs. Kings prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Spurs vs. Kings predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to beat the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Friday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Spurs vs. Kings prediction gives San Antonio an 88.2% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Kings to cover at +16.5.
Spurs vs. Kings key predictions
- Predicted score: Spurs 121-107 Kings
- Spurs win probability: 88.2%
- Kings win probability: 11.8%
- Kings +16.5 spread: 58.3% cover probability
- Under 229.5 points: 50.2% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Spurs vs. Kings odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Spurs moneyline: 90¢ (Polymarket)
- Kings moneyline: 10¢ (Novig)
- Spurs -16.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Kings +16.5: 49¢ (Polymarket)
- Over 229.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
- Under 229.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Spurs vs. Kings pick: Kings +16.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Spurs the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Kings to cover the +16.5 spread at 49¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give the Kings an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 58.3%.
That's a 9.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Spurs vs. Kings player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Spurs star Victor Wembanyama leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 28.1 points, plus 11.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists. The Spurs have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Kings' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Victor Wembanyama (Spurs): 28.1 points
- Darius Acuff (Kings): 24.0
- Zach LaVine (Kings): 19.0
- Dylan Harper (Spurs): 18.2
- De'Aaron Fox (Spurs): 17.8
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Spurs vs. Kings prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Spurs vs. Kings predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Spurs vs. Kings game details
- Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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