NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Spurs vs. Kings play [11/6/2026]

Kings +14.5 (+108)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Kings +14.5 at 48¢ odds. A 59.6% probability produces an edge of 11.6%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Mavericks ML (-253)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 77%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET)

Mavericks ML carries a 5.4% edge and a probability of 77% at -253 odds, according to our model.

Timberwolves -5.5 (+110)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Timberwolves -5.5 vs. Pelicans at +110 odds shows a 5.2% edge, supported by a 52.9% probability in simulations.

Timberwolves ML (-162)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

A 4.7% edge and 66.5% probability makes Timberwolves at the moneyline a value play in the Timberwolves vs. Pelicans matchup, per our model.

Bucks +6.5 (+104)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Bucks +6.5 at 49¢ presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.4%.

Lakers -3.5 (+106)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Lakers -3.5 at 49¢, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

Thunder ML (-150)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Thunder-Grizzlies to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 60¢. A 63.1% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Hornets +8.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

A 2.8% edge on a 52.8% probability makes Hornets +8.5 at 50¢a solid value play in today's Celtics vs. Hornets matchup.

Trail Blazers vs. LakersUnder 232.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 232.5 points at 50¢. A 52.8% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's matchup.

Kings ML (+852)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 13.2%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Kings to defeat Spurs at 11¢ shows a 13.2% probability and a 2.7% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 11/6/2026

As of 1:02AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/6/2026]

• Celtics vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Wizards vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• 76ers vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Thunder vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Jazz vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Kings +14.5 vs. Spurs and Mavericks ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.