Nov 6, 2026
NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Jaxson Hayes [11/6/2026]
Read Article NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Giannis Antetokounmpo [11/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NBA player props are live for November 5, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brandin Podziemski, Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup and surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market. Today, that includes Heat vs. Warriors and Magic vs. Suns.
List of NBA prop bets for Thursday, 11/5
Sourced from 25+ total NBA props on site today, below are the top 10 NBA player props for November 5, ranked by probability.
Brandin Podziemski over 5.5 rebounds (45¢)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Projection: 6.2
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Warriors' Brandin Podziemski over 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 54.2% gives this play an edge of 8.7% at 45¢ odds.
Bam Adebayo over 19.5 points (44¢)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 51.5%
- Projection: 20.2
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Bam Adebayo’s points prop shows an 8.0% edge at 44¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 20.2 points on the over 19.5 line.
Brandin Podziemski over 4.5 assists (+125)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Brandin Podziemski over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 51.3% probability and a 6.8% edge at +125.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 6.5 assists (+122)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 51.2%
- Projection: 6.8
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Giannis Antetokounmpo to put up 6.8 assists today, creating an edge of 6.2% on the over 6.5 line at +122 odds.
Stephen Curry over 4.5 3-pointers made (+120)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Projection: 4.6
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Stephen Curry over 4.5 3-pointers made for Warriors, showing an edge of 5.4% at +120 odds.
Bam Adebayo over 9.5 rebounds (42¢)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 49.1%
- Projection: 9.3
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Bam Adebayo’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 7.1% at 42¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 9.3 today.
Desmond Bane under 19.5 points (41¢)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 48.1%
- Projection: 20.3
- Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Desmond Bane for 20.3 points for Magic, creating an edge of 6.6% on under 19.5 at 41¢ odds.
Franz Wagner over 24.5 points (42¢)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 47.8%
- Projection: 23.5
- Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Franz Wagner for 23.5 points, creating value on the over 24.5 line at 42¢ odds and a 5.8% edge.
Anthony Black over 1.5 steals (38¢)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 47.6%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)
A 9.1% edge on the over 24.5 steals line makes Anthony Black a value play in Magic vs. Suns, with our model projecting him for 1.3 steals at 38¢ odds.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 11.5 rebounds (41¢)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 47.1%
- Projection: 11.0
- Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project Giannis Antetokounmpo for 11.0 rebounds here, creating a 5.6% edge on the over 11.5 line at 41¢ odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, November 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:55PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors | Brandin Podziemski o5.5 rebounds | 45¢ @ Kalshi | 8.7% | 54.2% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Bam Adebayo o19.5 points | 44¢ @ Kalshi | 8.0% | 51.5% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Brandin Podziemski o4.5 assists | +125 @ BetRivers | 6.2% | 51.2% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Giannis Antetokounmpo o6.5 assists | +122 @ FanDuel | 6.2% | 51.2% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Stephen Curry o4.5 3-pointers made | +120 @ Fanatics | 5.4% | 50.8% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Bam Adebayo o9.5 rebounds | 42¢ @ Kalshi | 7.1% | 49.1% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Desmond Bane u19.5 points | 41¢ @ Kalshi | 6.6% | 48.1% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Franz Wagner o24.5 points | 42¢ @ Kalshi | 5.8% | 47.8% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Anthony Black o1.5 steals | 38¢ @ Kalshi | 9.1% | 47.6% |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Giannis Antetokounmpo o11.5 rebounds | 41¢ @ Kalshi | 5.6% | 47.1% |
Conclusion
For November 5, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Brandin Podziemski, Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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