Nov 6, 2026
Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026
Read Article Wizards vs. Hawks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Wizards vs. Hawks predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Atlanta Hawks are favored to beat the Washington Wizards at State Farm Arena on Friday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Wizards vs. Hawks prediction gives Atlanta a 72.6% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Wizards to cover at +7.5.
Wizards vs. Hawks key predictions
- Predicted score: Hawks 117-111 Wizards
- Hawks win probability: 72.6%
- Wizards win probability: 27.4%
- Wizards +7.5 spread: 54.0% cover probability
- Over 228.5 points: 50.0% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Wizards vs. Hawks odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Wizards moneyline: 27¢ (Novig)
- Hawks moneyline: 73¢ (Novig)
- Wizards +7.5: 49¢ (Polymarket)
- Hawks -7.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 228.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 228.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Wizards vs. Hawks pick: Wizards +7.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Hawks the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Wizards to cover the +7.5 spread at 49¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give the Wizards an implied cover probability of 49.0%, while our model puts it at 54.0%.
That's a 5.0% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Wizards vs. Hawks player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Wizards star Anthony Davis leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 22.3 points, plus 10.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists. The Wizards have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Hawks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Anthony Davis (Wizards): 22.3 points
- Trae Young (Wizards): 21.2
- Jalen Johnson (Hawks): 21.0
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks): 20.0
- AJ Dybantsa (Wizards): 18.5
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Wizards vs. Hawks prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Wizards vs. Hawks predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Wizards vs. Hawks game details
- Matchup: Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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