Nov 6, 2026
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Read Article Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Dallas Mavericks are favored to beat the Utah Jazz at American Airlines Center on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction gives Dallas a 73.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Mavericks moneyline, too.
Jazz vs. Mavericks key predictions
- Predicted score: Mavericks 116-109 Jazz
- Mavericks win probability: 73.9%
- Jazz win probability: 26.1%
- Mavericks -7.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
- Under 226.5 points: 50.1% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Jazz vs. Mavericks odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Jazz moneyline: 29¢ (Novig)
- Mavericks moneyline: 72¢ (Novig)
- Jazz +7.5: -114 (BetRivers)
- Mavericks -7.5: 50¢ (Kalshi)
- Over 226.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 226.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Jazz vs. Mavericks pick: Mavericks ML (72¢)
Our model makes the Mavericks the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Mavericks moneyline at 72¢ on Novig, too.
Those odds give the Mavericks an implied win probability of 71.5%, while our model puts it at 73.9%.
That's a 2.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Jazz vs. Mavericks player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Mavericks star Cooper Flagg leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 26.5 points, plus 7.1 rebounds and 6.6 assists. The Jazz have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Mavericks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 26.5 points
- Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 23.4
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 22.9
- Keyonte George (Jazz): 22.7
- Ace Bailey (Jazz): 16.1
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Jazz vs. Mavericks game details
- Matchup: Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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