Best bets today for all sports: Friday's picks include UNLV vs. Boise State college football play [12/5/2025]

College Football: UNLV vs. Boise State over 58.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 58.2%
• College Football matchup: UNLV vs. Boise State (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on over 58.5 points in UNLV vs. Boise State at -105 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 6.9%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Men's College Basketball: Kentucky +5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 58%
• NBA matchup: Gonzaga vs. Kentucky (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Kentucky +5.5 carries a 6.8% edge and a probability of 58% at -105 odds, according to our model.

NBA: Mavericks +14.5 (-102)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 56.7%
• NBA Matchup: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Mavericks +14.5 vs. Thunder at -102 odds shows a 6.2% edge, supported by a 56.7% probability in simulations.

NBA: Jazz +15.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 58.2%
• NBA Matchup: Jazz vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Friday)

A 5.8% edge and 58.2% probability make Jazz +15.5 vs. Knicks at a value play in the Jazz vs. Knicks matchup, per our model.

Men's College Basketball: Niagara vs. Siena over 130.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Niagara vs. Siena (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Niagara vs. Siena over 130.5 points at -105 odds presents a 5.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.4%.

Men's College Basketball: San Jose State ML (-270)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 77.1%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: San Diego vs. San Jose State (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on San Jose State to win at -270 odds, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

College Football: Jacksonville State ML (+116)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 50.4%
• College Football Matchup: Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (7:00PM ET, Friday) Our model has uncovered value on Jacksonville State ML at +116 odds. A 50.4% probability produces a 4.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Men's College Basketball: Virginia Commonwealth -18.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Samford vs. Virginia Commonwealth (7:00PM ET, Friday)

A 3.7% edge on a 56.1% probability makes Virginia Commonwealth -18.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Samford vs. Virginia Commonwealth matchup.

College Basketball: Quinnipiac +2.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 55.6%
• College Basketball Matchup: Quinnipiac vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Quinnipiac +2.5 at -108 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making Quinnipiac the favorable side in Saturday’s college basketball matchup.

NBA: Heat vs. Magic under 241.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 54.6%
• NBA Matchup: Heat vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Heat vs. Magic under 241.5 points at -105 odds shows a 54.6% probability and a 3.4% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Friday, 12/5/2025

As of 12:31AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
UNLV vs. Boise State (College Football)	Over 58.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	6.9%	58.2%
Gonzaga vs. Kentucky (Men's College Basketball)	Kentucky +5.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.8%	58%
Mavericks vs. Thunder (NBA)	Mavericks +14.5	-102 @ DraftKings	6.2%	56.7%
Jazz vs. Knicks (NBA)	Jazz +15.5	-110 @ BetMGM	5.8%	58.2%
Niagara vs. Siena (Men's College Basketball)	Over 130.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.2%	56.4%
San Diego vs. San Jose State (Men's College Basketball)	San Jose State ML	-270 @ DraftKings	4.6%	77.1%
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State (College Football)	Jacksonville State ML	+116 @ FanDuel	4.1%	50.4%
Samford vs. Virginia Commonwealth (Men's College Basketball)	Virginia Commonwealth -18.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.7%	56.1%
Quinnipiac vs. Iona (College Basketball)	Quinnipiac +2.5	-108 @ DraftKings	3.7%	55.6%
Heat vs. Magic (NBA)	Under 241.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.4%	54.6%

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [12/5/2025]

• La Liga: Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo (3:00PM ET, Friday)
• NHL: Golden Knights vs. Devils (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NHL: Sabres vs. Jets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAF: Troy vs. James Madison (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: Niagara vs. Siena (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: Quinnipiac vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: Gonzaga vs. Kentucky (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• NCAAM: Canisius vs. St. Peter's (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for December 5, 2025, featuring plays such as over 58.5 points in the UNLV vs. Boise State matchup and Kentucky +5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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