Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Twins vs. Guardians MLB play [7/23/2026]
Get the best bets for Thursday, July 23, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for July 23, 2026 are here, with Twins vs. Guardians and Royals vs. Tigers in the MLB among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [7/23, updated 3:44AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, July 23, 2026.
MLB: Twins vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 58%
- MLB matchup: Twins vs. Guardians (1:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Twins vs. Guardians at -104 odds. A 58% probability produces an edge of 7.0%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
MLB: Royals vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs (+108)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Tennis matchup: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Royals vs. Tigers over 8.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 53.7% at +108 odds, according to our model.
Tennis: Quentin Halys ML (+196)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 38.4%
- Tennis Matchup: Mariano Navone vs. Quentin Halys (5:00AM ET)
Quentin Halys ML at +196 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 38.4% probability in simulations of the ATP Kitzbuhel Open match.
MLB: Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals over 8.5 runs (+122)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 49.5%
- MLB Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals (5:15PM ET)
A 4.5% edge and 49.5% probability make Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals over 8.5 runs a value play in the Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals matchup, per our model.
Tennis: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova Over 20.5 total games (-120)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 58.4%
- Tennis Matchup: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs. Leyre Romero Gormaz (6:10AM ET)
Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova Over 20.5 total games at -120 odds presents a 3.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.
MLB: Padres vs. Braves Over 7.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 57.6%
- MLB Matchup: Padres vs. Braves (12:15PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Padres vs. Braves at -117 odds, supported by an edge of 3.7%.
Tennis: Leyre Romero Gormaz +3.5 (-124)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Tennis Matchup: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs. Leyre Romero Gormaz (6:10AM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Leyre Romero Gormaz +3.5 at -124 odds. A 58.8% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's WTA Hamburg Open tennis action.
Tennis: Lucie Havlickova ML (+630)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 15.3%
- Tennis Matchup: Lucie Havlickova vs. Barbora Krejcikova (8:30AM ET)
A 3.3% edge on a 15.3% probability makes Lucie Havlickova to win at +630 odds a solid value play in this WTA Prague Open matchup.
Tennis: Lanlana Tararudee ML (+161)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 39.8%
- Tennis Matchup: Nikola Bartunkova vs. Lanlana Tararudee (5:00AM ET)
Our model projects value on Lanlana Tararudee to win at +161 odds. A 39.8% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making Lanlana Tararudee the favorable ML play in today's WTA Prague Open tennis matchup.
MLB: Blue Jays ML (-104)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 53.9%
- MLB Matchup: Rays vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Blue Jays to defeat Rays at -104 odds shows a 53.9% probability and a 2.9% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 7/23/2026
As of 3:44AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins vs. Guardians (MLB) | Over 7.5 runs | -104 @ Novig | 7.0% | 58% |
| Royals vs. Tigers (MLB) | Over 8.5 runs | +108 @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 53.7% |
| Navone vs. Halys (Tennis) | Quentin Halys ML | +196 @ FanDuel | 4.6% | 38.4% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals (MLB) | Over 8.5 runs | +122 @ Polymarket | 4.5% | 49.5% |
| Oliynykova vs. Gormaz (Tennis) | Over 20.5 Total Games | -120 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 58.4% |
| Padres vs. Braves (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | -117 @ Polymarket | 3.7% | 57.6% |
| Oliynykova vs. Gormaz (Tennis) | Leyre Romero Gormaz +3.5 Games | -124 @ FanDuel | 3.5% | 58.8% |
| Havlickova vs. Krejcikova (Tennis) | Lucie Havlickova ML | +630 @ FanDuel | 3.3% | 15.3% |
| Bartunkova vs. Tararudee (Tennis) | Lanlana Tararudee ML | +161 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 39.8% |
| Rays vs. Blue Jays (MLB) | Blue Jays ML | -104 @ Novig | 2.9% | 53.9% |
List of upcoming events to bet on now [7/23/2026]
- Tennis: Lanlana Tararudee vs. Nikola Bartunkova (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Elsa Jacquemot vs. Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Quentin Halys vs. Mariano Navone (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
- AFL: Magpies vs. Crows (5:30AM ET, Thursday)
- NRL: Panthers vs. Eels (5:50AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Lilli Tagger vs. Mai Hontama (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Sebastian Baez vs. Yannick Hanfmann (6:10AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Luca Van Assche (7:00AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Sara Bejlek vs. Maria Timofeeva (7:20AM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for July 23, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Twins vs. Guardians matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Royals vs. Tigers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
