Best bets today for all sports: MLK Day picks include Francesco Maestrelli vs. Novak Djokovic tennis play [1/19/2026]

Tennis: Novak Djokovic vs. Francesco Maestrelli under 28.5 total games (-115)

• Edge: 14.9%
• Probability: 68.3%
• Tennis matchup: Francesco Maestrelli vs. Novak Djokovic (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on under 28.5 total games in Novak Djokovic vs. Francesco Maestrelli at -115 odds in their matchup at 2026 Australian Open. A 68.3% probability produces an edge of 14.9%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Carlos Alcaraz -8.5 (-140)

• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 72.2%
• Tennis matchup: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Yannick Hanfmann (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Also at 2026 Australian Open, Carlos Alcaraz -8.5 carries a 13.9% edge and a probability of 72.2% at -140 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Taylor Fritz -5.5 (-130)

• Edge: 13.8%
• Probability: 70.3%
• Tennis Matchup: Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Taylor Fritz -5.5 vs. Valentin Royer at -130 odds shows a 13.8% edge, supported by a 70.3% probability in simulations of the 2026 Australian Open match.

Tennis: Yannick Hanfmann vs. Carlos Alcaraz under 29.5 total games (-140)

• Edge: 13.7%
• Probability: 72%
• Tennis Matchup: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Yannick Hanfmann (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 13.7% edge and 72% probability make Yannick Hanfmann vs. Carlos Alcaraz under 29.5 total games at a value play in the Carlos Alcaraz vs. Yannick Hanfmann matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Taylor Fritz vs. Valentin Royer under 36.5 total points (-118)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Tennis Matchup: Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Taylor Fritz vs. Valentin Royer under 36.5 total points at -118 odds presents a 11.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 65.7%.

Tennis: Frances Tiafoe -4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Tennis Matchup: Frances Tiafoe vs. Francisco Comesana (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model finds value on Frances Tiafoe -4.5 at -110 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 10.0%.

NBA: Spurs ML (+130)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 52.2%
• NBA Matchup: Spurs vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Spurs ML at +130 odds. A 52.2% probability produces an 8.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Tennis: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Reilly Opelka under 42.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Tennis Matchup: Reilly Opelka vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

A 8.7% edge on a 66.2% probability makes under 42.5 total games at -135 odds a solid value play in this 2026 Australian Open matchup.

College Basketball: Baylor ML (+120)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 52.9%
• College Basketball Matchup: Texas Tech vs. Baylor (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model projects value on Baylor to win at +120 odds. A 52.9% probability produces a 7.5% edge, making Baylor the favorable ML play in Saturday’s college basketball matchup.

Tennis: Alycia Parks vs. Karolina Muchova over 18.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 62%
• Tennis Matchup: Karolina Muchova vs. Alycia Parks (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Karolina Muchova vs. Alycia Parks over 18.5 total games at -120 odds shows a 62% probability and a 7.4% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Monday, 1/19/2026

As of 9:32PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Maestrelli vs. Djokovic (Tennis)	Under 28.5 Total Games	-115 @ DraftKings	14.9%	68.3%
Alcaraz vs. Hanfmann (Tennis)	Carlos Alcaraz -8.5	-140 @ FanDuel	13.9%	72.2%
Royer vs. Fritz (Tennis)	Taylor Fritz -5.5	-130 @ FanDuel	13.8%	70.3%
Alcaraz vs. Hanfmann (Tennis)	Under 29.5 Total Games	-140 @ DraftKings	13.7%	72%
Royer vs. Fritz (Tennis)	Under 36.5 Total Games	-118 @ FanDuel	11.6%	65.7%
Tiafoe vs. Comesana (Tennis)	Frances Tiafoe -4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	10.0%	62.4%
Spurs vs. Rockets (NBA)	Spurs ML	+130 @ DraftKings	8.7%	52.2%
Opelka vs. Fokina (Tennis)	Under 42.5 Total Games	-135 @ DraftKings	8.7%	66.2%
Texas Tech vs. Baylor (College Basketball)	Baylor ML	+120 @ FanDuel	7.5%	52.9%
Muchova vs. Parks (Tennis)	Over 18.5 Total Games	-120 @ DraftKings	7.4%	62%

List of upcoming sports to bet on now [1/19/2026]

• Tennis: Yibing Wu vs. Luca Nardi (9:45PM ET, Monday)
• NHL: Islanders vs. Canucks (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• NHL: Rangers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• NBA: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Sonay Kartal vs. Anna Kalinskaya (10:15PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Zizou Bergs vs. Hubert Hurkacz (10:40PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Dino Prizmic vs. James Duckworth (10:40PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Jelena Ostapenko vs. Rebecca Sramkova (10:55PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Vit Kopriva (11:15PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Eva Lys vs. Sorana Cirstea (11:25PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for January 19, 2026, featuring plays such as under 28.5 total games in the Francesco Maestrelli vs. Novak Djokovic matchup and Carlos Alcaraz -8.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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