Best bets today for all sports: Presidents' Day picks include Carlos Taberner vs. Sebastian Baez tennis play [2/16/2026]

Tennis: Carlos Taberner +5.5 games (-112)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Tennis matchup: Carlos Taberner vs. Sebastian Baez (2:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has identified value on Carlos Taberner +5.5 games at -112 odds in their matchup at ATP Rio Open. A 61.2% probability produces an edge of 8.3%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Sebastian Baez vs. Carlos Taberner over 19.5 total games (-110)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Tennis matchup: Carlos Taberner vs. Sebastian Baez (2:30PM ET, Tuesday)

At ATP Rio Open, Carlos Taberner vs. Sebastian Baez over 19.5 total games carries an 8.2% edge and a probability of 60.6% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Zizou Bergs over 25.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Tennis Matchup: Zizou Bergs vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (7:50AM ET, Tuesday)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Zizou Bergs over 25.5 total games at -120 odds shows a 5.9% edge, supported by a 60.5% probability in simulations of the ATP Doha match.

Tennis: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Moez Echargui under 20.5 total games (-106)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Tennis Matchup: Moez Echargui vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (5:30AM ET, Tuesday)

A 5.3% edge and 56.7% probability make Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Moez Echargui under 20.5 total games at a value play in the Moez Echargui vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Daria Kasatkina +5.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 57%
• Tennis Matchup: Mirra Andreeva vs. Daria Kasatkina (3:10AM ET, Tuesday)

Daria Kasatkina +5.5 at -108 odds presents a 5.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57%.

Tennis: Kimberly Birrell +6.5 (+104)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Tennis Matchup: Elena Rybakina vs. Kimberly Birrell (10:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Our model finds value on Kimberly Birrell +6.5 at +104 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 5.1%.

Tennis: Jesper De Jong ML (+540)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 20.1%
• Tennis Matchup: Jesper De Jong vs. Andrey Rublev (12:40PM ET, Tuesday)

Our model has uncovered value on Jesper De Jong ML at +540 odds. A 20.1% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

Men's College Basketball: Prairie View A&M +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 4.4% edge on a 55.6% probability makes Prairie View A&M +2.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M matchup.

Tennis: Kimberly Birrell vs. Elena Rybakina over 17.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Tennis Matchup: Elena Rybakina vs. Kimberly Birrell (10:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Our model projects value on over 17.5 total games at -120 odds. A 58.9% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s WTA Dubai tennis matchup.

Men's College Basketball: Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Andrey Rublev vs. Jesper De Jong (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 at -102 odds shows a 54.8% probability and a 4.3% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Monday, 2/16/2026

As of 5:33PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Taberner vs. Baez (Tennis)	Carlos Taberner +5.5 Games	-112 @ FanDuel	8.3%	61.2%
Taberner vs. Baez (Tennis)	Over 19.5 Total Games	-110 @ FanDuel	8.2%	60.6%
Bergs vs. Perricard (Tennis)	Over 25.5 Total Games	-120 @ FanDuel	5.9%	60.5%
Echargui vs. Tsitsipas (Tennis)	Under 20.5 Total Games	-106 @ FanDuel	5.3%	56.7%
Andreeva vs. Kasatkina (Tennis)	Daria Kasatkina +5.5 Games	-108 @ FanDuel	5.1%	57%
Rybakina vs. Birrell (Tennis)	Kimberly Birrell +6.5 Games	+104 @ FanDuel	5.1%	54.1%
Jong vs. Rublev (Tennis)	Jesper De Jong ML	+540 @ FanDuel	4.4%	20.1%
Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M (Men's College Basketball)	Prairie View A&M +2.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.4%	55.6%
Rybakina vs. Birrell (Tennis)	Over 17.5 Total Games	-120 @ DraftKings	4.3%	58.9%
Norfolk State vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore (Men's College Basketball)	Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.3%	54.8%

List of upcoming events to bet on right now [2/16/2026]

• NCAAM: Colgate vs. Boston University (6:00PM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Marcos Giron vs. Sho Shimabukuro (6:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Syracuse vs. Duke (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Bethune-Cookman vs. Jackson State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: South Alabama vs. Marshall (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Norfolk State vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Wagner vs. LIU (7:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for February 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Carlos Taberner +5.5 games and over 19.5 total games also in the Carlos Taberner vs. Sebastian Baez matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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