Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Snigur tennis play [4/23/2026]

Tennis: Daria Snigur +7.5 games (-108)

• Edge: 18.2%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Tennis matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Snigur (7:00AM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Daria Snigur +7.5 games at -108 odds in their matchup at WTA Madrid Open. A 70.2% probability produces an edge of 18.2%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Daria Snigur vs. Iga Swiatek over 16.5 total games (-118)

• Edge: 17.3%
• Probability: 71.4%
• Tennis matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Snigur (7:00AM ET, Thursday)

At WTA Madrid Open, Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Snigur over 16.5 total games carries a 17.3% edge and a probability of 71.4% at -118 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Julia Grabher +5.5 games (-104)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Tennis Matchup: Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher (9:20AM ET, Thursday)

Julia Grabher +5.5 games vs. Leylah Fernandez at -104 odds shows a 8.4% edge, supported by a 59.3% probability in simulations of the WTA Madrid Open match.

Tennis: Peyton Stearns vs. Aryna Sabalenka over 17.5 total games (-120)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 61.4%
• Tennis Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (8:10AM ET, Thursday)

A 6.9% edge and 61.4% probability make Peyton Stearns vs. Aryna Sabalenka over 17.5 total games at a value play in the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Reilly Opelka vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer under 24.5 total points (-110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Tennis Matchup: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Reilly Opelka (9:40AM ET, Thursday)

Reilly Opelka vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer under 24.5 total points at -110 odds presents a 6.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

NRL: Sharks -1.5 (-115)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 59.4%
• NRL Matchup: Sharks vs. Cowboys (4:00AM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Sharks -1.5 at -115 odds, supported by an edge of 5.9%.

NRL: Sharks vs. Cowboys under 53.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• NRL Matchup: Sharks vs. Cowboys (4:00AM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Sharks vs. Cowboys under 53.5 points at -110 odds. A 58% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's NRL action.

NHL: Hurricanes vs. Senators over 5.5 goals (+102)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 55.1%
• NHL Matchup: Hurricanes vs. Senators (7:30PM ET, Thursday)

A 5.6% edge on a 55.1% probability makes over 5.5 goals at +102 odds a solid value play in today's Hurricanes vs. Senators matchup.

Tennis: Martin Landaluce -4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Tennis Matchup: Martin Landaluce vs. Adam Walton (12:10PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on Martin Landaluce -4.5 at -110 odds. A 57.9% probability produces a 5.5% edge, making Martin Landaluce the favorable side in Saturday’s ATP Madrid Open tennis matchup.

Tennis: Peyton Stearns +6.5 (+100)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Tennis Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (8:10AM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Peyton Stearns +6.5 at +100 odds shows a 55.5% probability and a 5.5% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 4/23/2026

As of 4:03AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Swiatek vs. Snigur (Tennis)	Daria Snigur +7.5 Games	-108 @ FanDuel	18.2%	70.2%
Swiatek vs. Snigur (Tennis)	Over 16.5 Total Games	-118 @ FanDuel	17.3%	71.4%
Fernandez vs. Grabher (Tennis)	Julia Grabher +5.5 Games	-104 @ FanDuel	8.4%	59.3%
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Over 17.5 Total Games	-120 @ DraftKings	6.9%	61.4%
Kjaer vs. Opelka (Tennis)	Under 24.5 Total Games	-110 @ FanDuel	6.0%	58.4%
Sharks vs. Cowboys (NRL)	Sharks -1.5	-115 @ DraftKings	5.9%	59.4%
Sharks vs. Cowboys (NRL)	Under 53.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	5.7%	58%
Hurricanes vs. Senators (NHL)	Over 5.5 Goals	+102 @ DraftKings	5.6%	55.1%
Landaluce vs. Walton (Tennis)	Martin Landaluce -4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	5.5%	57.9%
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Peyton Stearns +6.5 Games	+100 @ FanDuel	5.5%	55.5%

List of upcoming sports to bet on now [4/23/2026]

• Tennis: Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Terence Atmane (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Marcos Giron vs. Yannick Hanfmann (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Marton Fucsovics vs. Pablo Carreno Busta (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Elina Svitolina vs. Anna Bondar (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Petra Marcinko vs. Belinda Bencic (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Jaqueline Cristian vs. Yuliia Starodubtseva (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Alexander Blockx vs. Cristian Garin (5:00AM ET, Thursday)
• AFL: Swans vs. Bulldogs (5:30AM ET, Thursday)
• NRL: Raiders vs. Tigers (5:50AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Mariano Navone vs. Nuno Borges (6:10AM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for April 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Daria Snigur +7.5 games and over 16.5 total games also in the Iga Swiatek vs. Daria Snigur matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.