Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Mystics vs. Fever WNBA play [5/14/2026]

WNBA: Mystics vs. Fever over 170.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 12.5%
• Probability: 61.5%
• WNBA matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on over 170.5 points in Mystics vs. Fever at +104 odds. A 61.5% probability produces an edge of 12.5%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

WNBA: Sun +14.5 (+100)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 62.2%
• WNBA matchup: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Sun +14.5 carries a 12.2% edge and a probability of 62.2% at +100 odds, according to our model.

WNBA: Fever ML (-355)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 86.5%
• WNBA Matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Fever ML at -355 odds shows a 8.5% edge, supported by a 86.5% probability in simulations.

WNBA: Fever -8.5 (-106)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 59.6%
• WNBA Matchup: Mystics vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)

An 8.1% edge and 59.6% probability make Fever -8.5 vs. Mystics at a value play in the Mystics vs. Fever matchup, per our model.

NRL: Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs under 54.5 points (-114)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 59.8%
• NRL Matchup: Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs (6:05AM ET, Friday)

Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs under 54.5 points at -114 odds presents a 7.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.8%.

NBA: Spurs -5.5 (+105)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 55.9%
• NBA Matchup: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Spurs -5.5 at +105 odds, supported by an edge of 7.1%.

WNBA: Sky +4.5 (-106)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 58.5%
• WNBA Matchup: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has uncovered value on Sky +4.5 at -106 odds. A 58.5% probability produces a 7.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

MLB: Padres vs. Mariners over 7.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56%
• MLB Matchup: Padres vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Friday)

A 6.0% edge on a 56% probability makes over 7.5 runs at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Padres vs. Mariners matchup.

WNBA: Aces vs. Sun under 170.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 56.3%
• WNBA Matchup: Aces vs. Sun (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on under 170.5 points at -102 odds. A 56.3% probability produces a 5.8% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s WNBA matchup.

WNBA: Sky ML (+175)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 42%
• WNBA Matchup: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Sky to defeat Mercury at +175 odds shows a 42% probability and a 5.7% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 5/14/2026

As of 10:34PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [5/14/2026]

• NRL: Bulldogs vs. Sharks (4:00AM ET, Friday)
• AFL: Magpies vs. Swans (5:30AM ET, Friday)
• NRL: Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs (6:05AM ET, Friday)
• AFL: Power vs. Suns (6:10AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud (9:30AM ET, Friday)
• Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner (1:00PM ET, Friday)
• EPL: Liverpool vs. Aston Villa (3:00PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Phillies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Orioles vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• MLB: Blue Jays vs. Tigers (6:45PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for May 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 170.5 points in the Mystics vs. Fever matchup and Sun +14.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.