Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Sparks vs. Mercury WNBA play [5/21/2026]

WNBA: Sparks vs. Mercury under 176.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 21.3%
• Probability: 70.3%
• WNBA matchup: Sparks vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on under 176.5 points in Sparks vs. Mercury at +104 odds. A 70.3% probability produces an edge of 21.3%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

WNBA: Sparks +3.5 (-103)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 59.4%
• WNBA matchup: Sparks vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Sparks +3.5 carries an 8.7% edge and a probability of 59.4% at -103 odds, according to our model.

WNBA: Valkyries +7.5 (+104)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 55.2%
• WNBA Matchup: Valkyries vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Valkyries +7.5 vs. Liberty at +104 odds shows a 6.2% edge, supported by a 55.2% probability in simulations.

MLB: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• MLB Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

A 6.1% edge and 53.1% probability make Rockies vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs at a value play in the Rockies vs. Diamondbacks matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Yasmine Kabbaj +5.5 (-125)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 61%
• Tennis Matchup: Jil Teichmann vs. Yasmine Kabbaj (9:30AM ET, Thursday)

Yasmine Kabbaj +5.5 at -125 odds presents a 5.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 61%.

WNBA: Sparks ML (+141)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 46.9%
• WNBA Matchup: Sparks vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Sparks to win at +141 odds, supported by an edge of 5.4%.

NHL: Canadiens ML (+190)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 39.8%
• NHL Matchup: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Canadiens ML at +190 odds. A 39.8% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's NHL action.

WNBA: Lynx ML (-228)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 74.2%
• WNBA Matchup: Tempo vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 4.7% edge on a 74.2% probability makes Lynx to win at -228 odds a solid value play in today's Tempo vs. Lynx matchup.

MLB: Guardians vs. Tigers over 7.5 runs (+116)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 50.9%
• MLB Matchup: Guardians vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on over 7.5 runs at +116 odds. A 50.9% probability produces a 4.6% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s MLB matchup.

NHL: Canadiens +1.5 (-135)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 61.9%
• NHL Matchup: Canadiens vs. Hurricanes (8:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Canadiens +1.5 at -135 odds shows a 61.9% probability and a 4.4% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 5/21/2026

As of 2:42AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming sports to bet on now [5/21/2026]

• Tennis: Ann Li vs. Marie Bouzkova (4:30AM ET, Thursday)
• AFL: Crows vs. Hawks (5:30AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Daria Kasatkina vs. Jaqueline Cristian (5:40AM ET, Thursday)
• NRL: Dolphins vs. Raiders (5:50AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Ugo Humbert vs. Ignacio Buse (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Panna Udvardy vs. Camila Osorio (6:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Jaume Munar vs. Mariano Navone (7:00AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Daniel Altmaier vs. Tommy Paul (7:10AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs. Petra Marcinko (7:10AM ET, Thursday)
• Tennis: Casper Ruud vs. Alexei Popyrin (8:10AM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for May 21, 2026, featuring plays such as under 176.5 points in the Sparks vs. Mercury matchup and Sparks +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.