Best bets today for all sports: Wednesday's picks include Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns tennis play [4/22/2026]

Tennis: Peyton Stearns vs. Aryna Sabalenka over 17.5 total games (+110)

• Edge: 13.0%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Tennis matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (5:00AM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on over 17.5 total games in Peyton Stearns vs. Aryna Sabalenka at +110 odds in their matchup at WTA Madrid Open. A 60.6% probability produces an edge of 13.0%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Julia Grabher +5.5 games (-112)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Tennis matchup: Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher (5:00AM ET, Thursday)

At WTA Madrid Open, Julia Grabher +5.5 games carries a 9.6% edge and a probability of 62.4% at -112 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Peyton Stearns +6.5 games (+114)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Tennis Matchup: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns (5:00AM ET, Thursday)

Peyton Stearns +6.5 games vs. Aryna Sabalenka at +114 odds shows a 9.0% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations of the WTA Madrid Open match.

NHL: Ducks vs. Oilers over 6.5 goals (+120)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 53.3%
• NHL Matchup: Ducks vs. Oilers (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 7.9% edge and 53.3% probability make Ducks vs. Oilers over 6.5 goals at a value play in the Ducks vs. Oilers matchup, per our model.

AFL: Bulldogs +24.5 (-115)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 61%
• AFL Matchup: Swans vs. Bulldogs (5:30AM ET, Thursday)

Bulldogs +24.5 at -115 odds presents a 7.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 61%.

Tennis: Petra Marcinko +5.5 (-122)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Tennis Matchup: Belinda Bencic vs. Petra Marcinko (5:00AM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on Petra Marcinko +5.5 at -122 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 7.4%.

Tennis: Julia Grabher vs. Leylah Fernandez over 19.5 total games (+100)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 57%
• Tennis Matchup: Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher (5:00AM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Leylah Fernandez vs. Julia Grabher over 19.5 total games at +100 odds. A 57% probability produces a 7.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WTA Madrid Open tennis action.

NHL: Penguins vs. Flyers over 5.5 goals (+102)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 56.4%
• NHL Matchup: Penguins vs. Flyers (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)

A 6.9% edge on a 56.4% probability makes over 5.5 goals at +102 odds a solid value play in today's Penguins vs. Flyers matchup.

MLS: NY Red Bulls ML (-118)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 60%
• MLS Matchup: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Our model projects value on NY Red Bulls to win at -118 odds. A 60% probability produces a 5.9% edge, making NY Red Bulls the favorable ML play in Saturday’s MLS matchup.

Tennis: Martin Landaluce -4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Tennis Matchup: Martin Landaluce vs. Adam Walton (4:00AM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Martin Landaluce -4.5 at -110 odds shows a 57.8% probability and a 5.5% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Wednesday, 4/22/2026

As of 8:34AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Over 17.5 Total Games	+110 @ DraftKings	13.0%	60.6%
Fernandez vs. Grabher (Tennis)	Julia Grabher +5.5 Games	-112 @ FanDuel	9.6%	62.4%
Sabalenka vs. Stearns (Tennis)	Peyton Stearns +6.5 Games	+114 @ FanDuel	9.0%	55.8%
Ducks vs. Oilers (NHL)	Over 6.5 Goals	+120 @ DraftKings	7.9%	53.3%
Swans vs. Bulldogs (AFL)	Bulldogs +24.5	-115 @ DraftKings	7.6%	61%
Bencic vs. Marcinko (Tennis)	Petra Marcinko +5.5 Games	-122 @ FanDuel	7.4%	62.4%
Fernandez vs. Grabher (Tennis)	Over 19.5 Total Games	+100 @ DraftKings	7.0%	57%
Penguins vs. Flyers (NHL)	Over 5.5 Goals	+102 @ DraftKings	6.9%	56.4%
D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls (MLS)	NY Red Bulls ML	-118 @ BetMGM	5.9%	60%
Landaluce vs. Walton (Tennis)	Martin Landaluce -4.5	-110 @ FanDuel	5.5%	57.8%

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [4/22/2026]

• Tennis: Solana Sierra vs. Dayana Yastremska (8:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Emiliana Arango vs. Talia Gibson (8:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Thiago Tirante vs. Roberto Bautista Agut (8:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Anhelina Kalinina (8:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Federico Cina vs. Elmer Moller (9:15AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Simona Waltert vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (9:40AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Sofia Kenin vs. Ashlyn Krueger (9:50AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Leolia Jeanjean vs. Oksana Selekhmeteva (9:50AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Jaime Faria (9:50AM ET, Wednesday)
• Tennis: Valentin Royer vs. Alejandro Tabilo (10:20AM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for April 22, 2026, featuring plays such as over 17.5 total games in the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Peyton Stearns matchup and Julia Grabher +5.5 games. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.