Sun vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Sunday's WNBA game [8/30/2026]

The Dallas Wings and Connecticut Sun will meet in the WNBA at College Park Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Wings prediction.

The Wings, with stars such as Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Sun, featuring Aaliyah Edwards, Diamond Miller and Nell Angloma.

Bueckers, the young phenom making headlines with the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 20 points and 2 threes.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Sun and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Wings a 90.0% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+15.5) have a 56.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 56.8% chance of going over.

Sun vs. Wings odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sun +15.5 (+100) / Wings -15.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Sun +1150, Wings -1150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Wings picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +15.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sun @ +1150 via Novig
• Total: Over 166.5 @ +104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 166.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Wings player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Connecticut vs. Dallas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.

Aaliyah Edwards is expected to lead the Sun with 15 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Aaliyah Edwards striking first with a 15.9% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Aaliyah Edwards	15	6	1	0	29
Diamond Miller	10	3	2	2	20
Nell Angloma	8	4	1	1	20
Saniya Rivers	8	3	3	1	22
C. Leger-Walker	7	4	4	2	24

Wings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	20	4	6	2	39
A. Ogunbowale	16	3	4	2	30
Jessica Shepard	13	10	4	0	35
Awak Kuier	10	6	2	1	27
Alanna Smith	9	5	2	1	23

Sun vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Wings and Sun at College Park Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings
• Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: College Park Center

Conclusion

We predict the Wings, with a 90.0% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.