Sparks vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [8/30/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Sparks and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Storm a 50.7% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Storm (+1.5) have a 56.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has a 51.6% chance of staying under.

Sparks vs. Storm odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sparks -1.5 (-106) / Storm +1.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Sparks -115, Storm +115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Storm +1.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Storm @ +115 via Novig
• Total: Under 174.5 @ +104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Storm player props

Betting on Sparks vs. Storm WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 17 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.

For early game action, the data identifies Dominique Malonga as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	3	1	35
Rae Burrell	14	3	3	2	27
Dearica Hamby	12	6	2	0	26
Ariel Atkins	10	3	3	1	24
Cameron Brink	9	5	2	1	25

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	17	9	2	1	39
F. Johnson	13	4	3	2	29
Jade Melbourne	12	4	4	2	28
Zia Cooke	11	3	3	1	21
Ezi Magbegor	7	5	2	1	22

Sparks vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Storm and Sparks at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

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