Dream vs. Valkyries prediction favors Golden State to win Game 1 [2026 WNBA Finals]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Dream and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Valkyries a 59.9% chance of beating the Dream in Game 1 of the series. According to our model, the Valkyries (-2.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 64.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Dream +2.5 (-104) / Valkyries -2.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Dream +127, Valkyries -133
• Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-106/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for Game 1

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valkyries -2.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Valkyries @ 57¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 153.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top Game 1 player props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on the Atlanta vs. Golden State game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Angel Reese is expected to lead the Dream with 17 points, 12 rebounds and 2 assists, while Gabby Williams is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Valkyries.

For early game action, the data identifies Gabby Williams as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Dream player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:

• Angel Reese: 17 PTS, 12 REB, 2 AST
• Rhyne Howard: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
• Allisha Gray: 13 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
• Jordin Canada: 12 PTS, 3 REB, 8 AST
• Naz Hillmon: 8 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST

Valkyries player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

• Gabby Williams: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
• Veronica Burton: 11 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
• Kayla Thornton: 9 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST
• Tiffany Hayes: 9 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
• Cecilia Zandalasini: 8 PTS, 2 REB, 1 AST

Game info & tip-off details

Saturday's Game 1 between the Valkyries and Dream at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries
• Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Dream in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.