Oct 9, 2026
WNBA Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Chelsea Gray [10/9/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Friday, October 9, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 10/9.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, October 9, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (October 9, 2026)
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 18.7% probability
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 16.6% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 15.7% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 13.6% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 12.5% probability
- Janelle Salaun (Valkyries): 12.5% probability
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 11.6% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 10.4% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 10.1% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 9.5% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 9.2% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.4% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 8.3% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 7.9% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 7.6% probability
- Rebecca Allen (Liberty): 6.9% probability
- Jewell Loyd (Aces): 6.6% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 6.3% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 4.6% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 2.9% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (October 9, 2026)
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 4.6% edge at +610
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 2.4% edge at +1200
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 1.0% edge at +1240
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 0.8% edge at +1300
- Allisha Gray (Dream): 0.3% edge at +790
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 0.3% edge at +550
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 0.0% edge at +1500
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 10/9.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For the Playoffs action on Friday, October 9, 2026, Gabby Williams, A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, with Williams shaping as the strongest value play at +610. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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