Valkyries vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Game 4 [2026 WNBA Finals]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Dream a 68.5% chance of beating the Valkyries in Game 4 of the series. According to our model, the Dream (-4.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 65.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries +4.5 (+108) / Dream -4.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Valkyries +190, Dream -186
• Total: Over/Under 153.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for Game 4

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valkyries +4.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Dream @ 65¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 153.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top Game 4 player props

WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Saturday's Golden State vs. Atlanta matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Angel Reese is projected to have 17 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Gabby Williams as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

• Gabby Williams: 18 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
• Veronica Burton: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
• Kayla Thornton: 10 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST
• Tiffany Hayes: 10 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
• Cecilia Zandalasini: 10 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

• Angel Reese: 17 PTS, 12 REB, 3 AST
• Rhyne Howard: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
• Allisha Gray: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST
• Jordin Canada: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 9 AST
• Naz Hillmon: 8 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST

Game info & tip-off details

Saturday's Game 4 between the Dream and Valkyries at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 68.5% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.