Valkyries vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [10/21/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dream a 63.7% chance of defeating the Valkyries. According to our model, the Dream (-3.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 153.5-point over/under has a 63.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries +3.5 (+106) / Dream -3.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Valkyries +153, Dream -154
• Total: Over/Under 153.5 (-106/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Valkyries +3.5 @ 49¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Dream @ -154 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 153.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Valkyries vs. Dream matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Angel Reese is projected to have 17 points, 12 rebounds and 2 assists for the Dream.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Gabby Williams striking first with a 18.8% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

• Gabby Williams: 18 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST
• Veronica Burton: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST
• Kayla Thornton: 10 PTS, 5 REB, 1 AST
• Tiffany Hayes: 10 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST
• Cecilia Zandalasini: 9 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

• Angel Reese: 17 PTS, 12 REB, 2 AST
• Rhyne Howard: 16 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST
• Allisha Gray: 13 PTS, 3 REB, 2 AST
• Jordin Canada: 12 PTS, 4 REB, 8 AST
• Naz Hillmon: 8 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST

Game info & tip-off details

Wednesday's game between the Dream and Valkyries at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 63.7% win probability, will likely beat the Valkyries in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.