NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets include Jazz vs. Spurs play [1/18/2026]

Jazz +16.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Spurs (5:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Jazz +16.5 at -110 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 5.3%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Cavaliers +6.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2:30PM ET, Monday)

Cavaliers +6.5 carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 57.1% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Lakers ML (-115)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Lakers ML at -115 odds shows a 4.4% edge, supported by a 57.9% probability in simulations.

Mavericks +9.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Knicks (5:00PM ET, Monday)

A 3.2% edge and 54.5% probability make Mavericks +9.5 vs. Knicks at a value play in the Mavericks vs. Knicks matchup, per our model.

Hawks -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Hawks (1:00PM ET, Monday)

Hawks -2.5 at -105 odds presents a 3.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.2%.

Wizards ML (+225)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 33.3%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Wizards (3:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Wizards to win at +225 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Jazz vs. Spurs under 240.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Spurs (5:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Jazz vs. Spurs under 240.5 points at -105 odds. A 53.5% probability produces a 2.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Trail Blazers vs. Kings under 229.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.2% edge on a 53.4% probability makes under 229.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Trail Blazers vs. Kings matchup.

Pacers +8 (-108)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Pacers +8 at -108 odds. A 54.1% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making Pacers the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Kings ML (-120)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Kings to defeat Trail Blazers at -120 odds shows a 56.7% probability and a 2.1% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 1/18/2026

As of 8:32PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Jazz vs. Spurs	Jazz +16.5	-110 @ DraftKings	5.3%	57.7%
Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers +6.5	-110 @ DraftKings	4.7%	57.1%
Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers ML	-115 @ BetMGM	4.4%	57.9%
Mavericks vs. Knicks	Mavericks +9.5	-105 @ DraftKings	3.2%	54.5%
Bucks vs. Hawks	Hawks -2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	3.0%	54.2%
Clippers vs. Wizards	Wizards ML	+225 @ BetMGM	2.5%	33.3%
Jazz vs. Spurs	Under 240.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	2.3%	53.5%
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Under 229.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	2.2%	53.4%
Pacers vs. 76ers	Pacers +8	-108 @ FanDuel	2.2%	54.1%
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Kings ML	-120 @ BetMGM	2.1%	56.7%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [1/18/2026]

• Trail Blazers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Raptors vs. Lakers (9:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Hawks (1:00PM ET, Monday)
• Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2:30PM ET, Monday)
• Clippers vs. Wizards (3:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Knicks (5:00PM ET, Monday)
• Jazz vs. Spurs (5:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Suns vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Celtics vs. Pistons (8:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for January 18, 2026, featuring plays such as Jazz +16.5 and Cavaliers +6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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