NBA player props today: Saturday's best props include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander [11/7/2026]

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 assists (-116)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Projection: 7.0
• Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 5.5 assists. A probability of 58.7% gives this play an edge of 5.0% at -116 odds.

Damian Lillard over 4.5 assists (+116)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Projection: 5.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Damian Lillard’s assists prop shows a 7.5% edge at +116 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.2 assists on the over 4.5 line.

Devin Booker over 5.5 assists (42¢)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Projection: 5.9
• Game: Rockets vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Devin Booker over 5.5 assists, with simulations showing a 52.4% probability and a 10.4% edge at 42¢.

Deni Avdija over 6.5 assists (+126)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Projection: 6.8
• Game: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Deni Avdija to put up 6.8 assists today, creating an edge of 7.3% on the over 6.5 line at +126 odds.

Trae Young over 19.5 points (45¢)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 20.0
• Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Trae Young over 19.5 points for Wizards, showing an edge of 5.6% at 45¢ odds.

Mario Hezonja under 5.5 rebounds (45¢)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Projection: 5.5
• Game: Knicks vs. Cavaliers (8:00PM ET)

Mario Hezonja’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 5.6% at 45¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.5 today.

Julius Randle under 19.5 points (45¢)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 19.6
• Game: Nets vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Julius Randle for 19.6 points for Nets, creating an edge of 5.3% on under 19.5 at 45¢ odds.

Dylan Harper over 5.5 rebounds (44¢)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 5.4
• Game: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Dylan Harper for 5.4 rebounds, creating value on the over 5.5 line at 44¢ odds and a 6.3% edge.

Anthony Davis over 1.5 blocks (+133)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

A 6.6% edge on the over 5.5 blocks line makes Anthony Davis a value play in Wizards vs. Thunder, with our model projecting him for 1.5 blocks at +133 odds.

Trae Young over 9.5 assists (38¢)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 49.4%
• Projection: 9.4
• Game: Wizards vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Trae Young for 9.4 assists here, creating a 11.4% edge on the over 9.5 line at 38¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Saturday, November 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

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Conclusion

For November 7, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Damian Lillard and Devin Booker. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.