NBA player props today: MLK Day best props include Brandon Williams [1/19/2026]

Brandon Williams over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.4%
• Probability: 48.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Knicks (5:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Dallas' Brandon Williams over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.4% gives this play an edge of 12.4% at +178 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Jazz vs. Spurs (5:00PM ET)

De'Aaron Fox’s steals prop shows an 11.8% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks (+175)

• Edge: 10.7%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Suns vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 47.1% probability and a 10.7% edge at +175.

James Harden over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Clippers vs. Wizards (3:00PM ET)

Our model projects James Harden to record 1.5 steals today, creating an edge of 9.5% on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds.

Collin Gillespie over 1.5 steals (+170)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Suns vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Collin Gillespie over 1.5 steals for Phoenix, showing an edge of 8.8% at +170 odds.

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 46.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Andrew Wiggins’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.7% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Brandin Podziemski for 1.1 steals for Golden State, creating an edge of 8.4% on over 1.5 at +174 odds.

Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+147)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Celtics vs. Pistons (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Neemias Queta for 1.4 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +147 odds and a 8.3% edge.

Derrick White over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Celtics vs. Pistons (8:00PM ET)

A 7.9% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Derrick White a value play in Celtics vs. Pistons, with our model projecting him for 1.4 steals at +148 odds.

Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+149)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Cavaliers (2:30PM ET)

Simulations project Alex Caruso for 1.3 steals here, creating a 7.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +149 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, January 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:59PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mavericks vs. Knicks	Brandon Williams over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.4%	48.4%
Jazz vs. Spurs	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	11.8%	47.8%
Suns vs. Nets	Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks	+175 @ BetMGM	9.5%	49.8%
Clippers vs. Wizards	James Harden over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	9.5%	49.8%
Suns vs. Nets	Collin Gillespie over 1.5 steals	+170 @ DraftKings	8.8%	45.8%
Heat vs. Warriors	Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.7%	46.9%
Heat vs. Warriors	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+174 @ DraftKings	8.4%	44.9%
Celtics vs. Pistons	Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks	+147 @ DraftKings	8.3%	48.8%
Celtics vs. Pistons	Derrick White over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	7.9%	48.2%
Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals	+149 @ DraftKings	7.5%	47.7%

Conclusion

For January 19, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Brandon Williams, De'Aaron Fox and Mark Williams. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.