NHL player props today: Thursday's best props include Trevor Connelly [11/5/2026]

Trevor Connelly over 1.5 shots on goal (-135)

• Edge: 19.9%
• Probability: 77.3%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Red Wings (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Golden Knights' Trevor Connelly going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 77.3% gives this play an edge of 19.9% at -135 odds.

Roman Kantserov over 1.5 shots on goal (-125)

• Edge: 15.7%
• Probability: 71.2%
• Game: Blackhawks vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Roman Kantserov’s shots on goal prop shows a 71.2% probability and an 15.7% edge at -125 odds, according to our model.

Luke Evangelista over 1.5 shots on goal (-170)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 70.9%
• Game: Blues vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Luke Evangelista over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 70.9% probability and a 7.9% edge at -170.

Mikhail Sergachev over 1.5 shots on goal (-185)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 68.6%
• Game: Mammoth vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mikhail Sergachev over 1.5 shots on goal, with a 68.6% probability and an edge of 3.7% at -185 odds.

Anders Lee over 1.5 shots on goal (-170)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Game: Mammoth vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Anders Lee over 1.5 shots on goal for Mammoth, showing an edge of 4.4% at -170 odds.

Dylan Guenther over 2.5 shots on goal (-135)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Mammoth vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Dylan Guenther’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 9.4% at -135 odds, supported by a 66.8% probability according to our model.

Evgeni Malkin over 1.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Bruins vs. Penguins (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Evgeni Malkin over 1.5 shots on goal for Penguins, with a 66.8% probability and a 5.3% edge at -160 odds.

Porter Martone over 1.5 shots on goal (-110)

• Edge: 13.6%
• Probability: 66.0%
• Game: Flyers vs. Rangers (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Porter Martone over 1.5 shots on goal, supported by a 66.0% probability at -110 odds and an edge of 13.6%.

Anton Frondell over 1.5 shots on goal (-150)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Blackhawks vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the over 1.5 shots on goal line makes Anton Frondell a value play in Blackhawks vs. Lightning, supported by a 65.6% probability at -150 odds.

MacKenzie Weegar over 1.5 shots on goal (-155)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 65.3%
• Game: Mammoth vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on MacKenzie Weegar over 1.5 shots on goal here, with a 65.3% probability and 4.5% edge at -155 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Thursday, November 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For November 5, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Trevor Connelly, Roman Kantserov and Luke Evangelista. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.