Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/5/2026]

Seattle will face NY Red Bulls in MLS action at Lumen Field on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Seattle and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 54.4% chance of Seattle winning, a 24.3% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65.2% chance of going over, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +317, Seattle -117
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-245/+235)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Seattle @ -117 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +235 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Seattle win being the most probable:

• Seattle 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6% probability)
• Seattle 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.3%)
• Seattle 2-0 NY Red Bulls (7.3%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS game between Seattle and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 54.4% win probability on Saturday, NY Red Bulls have a 24.3% win probability, and there is a 21.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.